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- Phil (twt: @flipbrad)
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BUT Im thinking it might be wise to review history and "idealab"... YC has the risk exposure and ROI calcs down better.. but the reality is when "quick" M & A and series A exits dry up because bubble or general economic factors push people again to start asking the "whats the business model" and "how do you make money" questions. They may hit a bit of a wall, hopefully one they can climb over by tweaking their model a bit
bioanalogy is a great term... the same can be said using "consciousness analogy",... technology (the brain too, but that is another subject) is the out-picturing of what consciousness can already do (see patanjili's yoga sutras, third chapter, on the powers of consciousness, it's short) .... and when we use the nature and structure of the brain, or of consciousness, to analyze human systems, it becomes easier to see what is coming
i think umair was just born knowing this stuff, probably a yogi in his last lifetime, the rest of us need to do some meditation
Fred
That's the movement I'm talkking about
Fred
Paul/Jessica etc have an extraordinary ability to find those two smart developers, but yes the movement is in place. You know we're trying something here too.
So that leaves me with hundreds of other sources to fund our bootstrapped to date efforts in make an amazing growth story from.
http://bizcast.typepad.com/clients/2006/08/insi...
http://bizcast.typepad.com/clients/2006/09/the_...
Imagine the possibilities if some sort of fund wanted to make micro-investments in the winners of such competitions, based on the first complete "deliverable" that a team can put together in, say, 1-2 weeks. The proof is in the pudding. Mix with a tiny bit of ramen + sofa cash, the kind of superb business mentorship that someone like Paul Graham can offer, and an incubator-style environment, and you have a whole new kind of startup model.
It's never been easier to launch a startup. Google knows that, and they want to position themselves to easily acquire the developers of the Next Big Idea.
1) just because someone is young doesn't mean they should be paid less.
2) just because someone is young and you can pay them less doesn't mean their idea is any more likely to succeed.
and semantically, I don't see a group of 3 or 4 software engineers living on 25k for 6 months.
I understand the reasoning; younger people are less likely to be "encumbered" by family, mortgages, and prior commitments, and more likely to be able to focus entirely on a venture (and be willing to scrape by on ramen noodles and a shared 4-person apartment for that matter). However, this certainly isn't true of everyone young, or everyone older, for that matter.
*shrug*
1) VCs being addicted to mgmt fees and not so much carry and therefore raising larger and larger funds.
2) Market becoming more and more efficient with firms that have achieved "traction"
3) Nobody really knows whats going to make it big esp in the web world where continous product iterations and slight product adjustments can lead to massive market traction. The last point was esp critical and I quoted your arguments with SAI.
I suggested starting the YC model in India (the region that he was moving to). Essentially, start a program of investing in firms of about $50k or so (btw $50k goes a long way in India) along the YC/TechStars model. My argument was there was no way that anybody, even if you do this stuff daily, knows whats going to hit (what was the famous Hollywood saying :)... So, Perhaps, YC's intelligent "spray and pray" probabilistic approach is the way to superior returns...
Anyways, after reading this article, I sent him the following note:
===================
Here is the key quote from perhaps the smartest consumer internet VC:
"I encouraged them to look at the Y Combinator model for inspiration and suggested that they back 10 teams at $25k each instead of one team at $250k. Two reasons. First it's hard to know who will get it right, by backing 10 opportunities instead of one, you vastly increase your chances of success."
If Fred Wilson, who breathes this stuff day in and day out, believes its difficult to predict whats really going to take off then what are the chances that anybody else can get it right...
===================
Thanks
fred
I've always loved "bioanalogies" ... thanks. From a synapse...
- Skip
Fred
My roommates are one of the groups, and according to them, dreamit looked at a lot of complaints about y-combinator and tried to fix them. They're definitely doing some cool stuff. For example, each group gives up a % of their company for a common pot that everyone has a stake in. So you're vested in all the other groups and it becomes a community / encourages collaboration. My roomies are now in the process of courting advisors--finance, legal, and strategy guys. All of the potential advisors have pretty solid CVs.
I was pretty impressed from everything I've heard about the program so far, given that it's in it's first year. I can't wait to see what comes out of it.
Deadline to enter is April 15, 2008 -- prize includes a meeting with the iconic Esther Dyson!
On another note, what was the university considering this? My blog covers university entrepreneurship.
http://collegemogul.com
In the US there are Startup@PARC and the recent Amazon's AWS Startup Challenge; Europe has seen Y Europe in Vienna and Seedcamp in London, with more planned for the future. And of course there are related projects -- some admittedly more serious than others -- like Startup Weekend, You Be the VC and The Next Internet Millionaire.
(i didn't read all the other comments, so someone may have already mentioned this)
I believe they raised VC money
Really nice service.
I think they nailed it
fred
possibly not, of course. perhaps PG is a key ingredient, a 'Dear Leader'
I've actually been tossing around the idea with other alums in the start-up space of a putting forward a proposal for a YC like fund at Columbia. Columbia has helped the start-up community in nyc, but has never really taken a lead...
http://www.pchristensen.com/blog/articles/can-y...