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The only reason to encourage VC activity - or corporate entrepreneurship - is when the success of the newly created company enhances the value proposition of the original company. Then again, is that really VC activity, or just strategic portfolio enhancement?
Michael Porter has a great paper that speaks to the core of the subject - available at Harvard Business Review - about $4 for the PDF - Here's the description:
A study of the diversification records of 33 large U.S. companies from 1950 to 1986 shows that diversification--whether through acquisition, joint venture, or start-up--generally has not brought the competitive advantages or profitability expected. Portfolio management, restructuring, transferring skills, and sharing activities are four concepts of corporate strategy that companies most commonly use. Portfolio management no longer works very well in the United States because of its highly developed capital market. Restructuring is merely a stopgap measure that will not build shareholder value over the long term because it usually produces an unwieldy conglomerate. Companies have the best chance of being successful at diversification if they capitalize on the existing relationships between business units by having them transfer skills and share activities. McKinsey Award Winner.
http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/b...
I would assume that Google's interest would be not in ROI on their use of cash, but rather using a VC arm to "incubate" - for lack of a better word - new products and attract entrepreneurial talent.
IMO, Google has hit a point in it's lifetime where is has too many non-core projects/products that end up being a distraction. As many others have said before, they do need to start focusing and showing a bit more discipline. Given their huge quarterly profits, it's easy to ignore these all of these side-projects that are going nowhere. However, I think the time has come for them to ratchet things down a bit.
Having a VC arm would potentially be a way to keep involved in such "blue sky" projects, however distance it a bit from their core operations. Personally, I'd rather see GOOG use their cash in such a manner than keep supporting lots of these tiny distractions and the resource-drain they inflict.
That said, I think any startup should think long and hard about what it may mean to have GOOG as an investor and whether there might be any potential conflicts of interests.
Then you have to think of why a company starts such a firm? There are three potential reasons in my view: 1- money; 2- technology; 3- people.
1 is a non starter. The best VC firms make eye popping returns to shareholders but these are only the top few and anyway if you need that to provide your shareholders/investors with the returns they're looking for maybe you should rethink your core business instead of setting up a venture arm.
2 can be a smart play in my view. It's kind of like an outsourced research lab. Instead of setting up Xerox PARC you set up a VC arm that invests in interesting technologies that you can later snap up. The danger of course is that since it's out in the open other people can buy the companies or copy their ideas but that's life, and generally entrepreneurial teams are more innovative than indoor researchers and the openness and sharing of ideas brings its own benefits as well.
3 in my view is the killer. Look at a "VC firm" like Y Combinator. I think Google would be much better off creating something like Y Combinator in every major city in the world and using it not to create new technologies that they could eventually buy (although it would be a big plus) but to *recruit*. They would get much more innovative, talented people in-house by buying founder teams at $2m for 3 after six months (and they have been doing that, of course) than by hoovering the top 10% of cookie-cutter CS graduates at Stanford and MIT each year. I think this was the thinking behind Yahoo! Brickhouse but it seems to be a non-starter.
History has proved time and time again the truthness of that great Doriot quote: "someone, somewhere is making your product obsolete." And history has taught us that this someone is a small startup founder because it's in the nature of big companies to not be as nimble and innovative and to not notice the fastball flying into their blind spot until it's socked them in the jaw (and even then...). It's the classic story of Yahoo! refusing to buy Google before they were big.
Google is a tremendous company that I admire endlessly but it is also standing on tenuous ground: if tomorrow someone invents a way better search engine or a way better advertising network they'll be dead walking. If I was Google I'd start a $100 million or even $1 billion prize for anyone who comes up with a brilliant new search product. Because someone somewhere *will* make their product obsolete and the odds that that someone is a Google employee are pretty damn low. It was too late for Yahoo in 1998 and they didn't realize it until 2004 (or they still haven't realized it if you listen to Jerry sometimes). Maybe it will be mobile/location search, maybe it will be a new social advertising paradigm that will make AdWords useless and all ads will go through Facebook and Loopt, but some day Google as we know it will be obsolete, even before their competitor has launched their product. Cuil and Powerset are jokes but some day some startup won't be. And Google had better be there with a blank check when that day comes. Maybe that VC arm will help them spot that.
I can now ask the same of them!
Demonstrates how there are some things that you can control in your business -- what a potential competitor might do is not one of them.
that. In your business they could do it in a nanosecond. I think that would
be a very bad comment to make to a serious VC investor.
But if it were, it brings up an interesting point that has bothered me for a while: Why must companies always grow? Isn't there a point where company has exhausted all feasibly opportunities to deliver returns above their cost of capital, given their competencies? Why keep growing, when they can return a big chunk of cash to shareholders, some of which will find it's way back into a real VC firm?
I am sure you can find several other reasons for having a good stock price.
Goog also has its fair share of accredited investors.
That said, at first glance Google doing traditional VC seems like something that could work well, because they already do a lot of investment in tech startups through the M&A side, so presumably they have people with the right skill set and maybe even an edge. However, a big company buying a startup because the startup's products or services can be monetized by the big company is a fundamentally different kind of investment than VC. If Google VC invests in a firm that achieves success what is the exit strategy? Do they buy the firm outright, or sell it to a competitor at a profit? I would think the present value of an investment in a new internal product with a predictable revenue stream is greater than the PV of an investment in an external firm with a necessary yet uncertain liquidity event.
Time will tell how it works out for them, but as a GOOG shareholder, I agree with Fred. I think Google and their stakeholders would be best served by focusing on the online advertising business and leaving the startup investment business to professional startup investors.
I'm a bit confused by the strategy because Google has been an active early-stage acquirer, and I always thought that was an intelligent way for Google to get access to ideas and products.
The gains from acquiring and leveraging ideas internally *should* be more valuable than just participating the financial returns from funding new companies, right?
(and it they are not, isn't that admitting that the internal org structure is insufficient for letting good/new ideas percolate through the value chain?)
Here's 2 examples of corporate VC that I find fun to think about:
1. Intel Capital: Biggest fund in the world, from what i remember. They can lose a ton of money but it's still seen as a success for Intel if resulting acitivities translate into billions more Centrinos sold (which is exactly what was argued at least at one point). But the principals are not paid a carry (there usually isn't one) and so they get a different type of talent than a garden variety vc might.
2. Nokia Ventures: Started as strategic but then quickly took on a syndicate of LP's, then later completely morphed into an independent fund and even changed their name largely to emphasize that they can and do take investments competitive to their erstwhile parent.
It could very well be that Google can think of some innovative tricks and create an entirely new model. They certainly have the correct mentorship among current board members and alumni. Or maybe not, and they scrap the plan!
True, and perhaps just as importantly, it can also preclude landing some key customers. That's not to say that a company won't do business w/ a company funded by a competitor, but it does happen and I've lived through it.
The internet based VC market is already changing due to lower start-up, development and operating costs. Maybe google has a model which will better serve this market.
Potentially they would focus on environmental, energy or medical start-ups. With the diverse PHD's working inside the company, and 20% of their time being devoted to non-core work activities, they have the brain-power internally to understand these businesses and potentially make very good decisions, and they may have lots more to offer these companies.
I like to think the S&L haven't gotten old and that they still like to shake things up.
Hum...but truth be to told their start up acquisition strategy has been a bit mixed as well n'est pas? I assume they are trying to move up that food chain as well as likely invest in the start up ideas that their own employees are probably coming to them with on a daily basis.....
Eventually growth is going to slow. It may be better for shareholders to receive a dividend than spend money on ideas that will have a terrible rate of return.
Managers are always biased to throw good money after bad in the hope of maintaining growth. Maybe Icahn should lobby for a spot on google's board?
The more important discussion is how the VC industry will be affected by this. I think founders benefit from Google's presence in this field because of a better alignment of incentives.
That's exactly right
The best funds over the history of VC have been even smaller
That kind of money is very hard to invest intelligently. I'd advise them to start paying a dividend of about 1bn per quarter
Fred
Well, jeez, don't tell Brad you said that. :)
This is a great point. Motivation is a critical component in any endevour. With out proper alignment, the best of intentions is comprimised. This is a great post, great perspective, great insight.