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Just like displaying the remake of "American Gladiators" at 1080p doesn't make it suck any less than it does on NTSC, going to IBOC digital isn't going to make the programming that's on American radio any less inane or vapid.
Maybe Google will start buying stations and shaking things up; after they bought dMarc a while back, I thought that this might be where they were heading...There's some interesting work to be done in this area, but the likes of Clear Channel will just keep shuttling the same batch of programming consultants pulling out the tricks that last worked in the 70s...
Its already happening but too few consumers have the radios that can tune in
Fred
I desperately hope that I'm wrong -- having grown up listening to college radio, and then working in college radio, I understand the value of having a conduit to new music. I'm just not sure that the reason that the broadcast chains haven't innovated is because they don't have enough spaces on the dial.
I also got burned early in my career working on the American version of the RDS standard, which suffered from the same chicken and egg problem. Every year we were told this this was going to be the year that RDS-equipped radios were going to be standard equipment in American cars, and that the RDS data encoder I designed was finally going to start selling BIG. We started shipping that product in 93, and it's still an uncommon thing to see a radio that displays RDS data...
For the sake of your portfolio I hope that you're right; all I know is that I and everyone that I know have created other ways to discover new stuff (or just listen to the same stuff they've always listened to...)
I think its a bit different with hd because radio is really behind hd in a big way
On the question of who programs these new channels, I think we'll see the HD2 and HD3 channels adopting a number of interesting ideas
Just as bob dylan, little stevie, and jonesy have become djs, why couldn't cbs radio give david byrne one of their HD2 channels to program?
Fred
What planet do you live on fredwilson? The IBOC Alliance which represents ibiquity ONLY is behind HD in a big way because they make the most money from this scam, most broadcaster's realize what bad technology they have on their hands and can't wait to get rid of it , NPR is one of the biggest users of the scam and wouldn't een have it if they hadn't have had the government and the taxpayers pay for it's installation for them. Also if radio is so big on it, NPR'sTalk of the Nation did a segment under the title "Gizmos Galore at Consumer Electronics Show", why didn't they even mention it?
“HD Radio on the Offense”
“But after an investigation of HD Radio units, the stations playing HD, and the company that owns the technology; and some interviews with the wonks in DC, it looks like HD Radio is a high-level corporate scam, a huge carny shill.”
http://www.eastbayexpress.com/2007-03-07/music/...
iBiquity claims that there are 1500 HD stations, but:
"Have 200 HD Radio stations gone missing?"
"The HD Radio camp is advertising that there are currently over 1,500 radio stations now broadcasting in HD (from its website, to press releases as well as in various other promotions)... but yet only 1,300 have filed with the FCC."
http://www.orbitcast.com/archives/have-200-hd-r...
And, the AM-HDs are starting to abandom HD/IBOC:
"Editorial: AM IBOC in Distress?"
"Citadel Director of Corporate Engineering Martin Stabbert embodied questions about the efficacy of full-time AM HD when he ordered all his AMs that had already converted to cease transmitting HD at night, using language that must have given Ibiquity officials heartburn. Separately and for different immediate reasons, Cox, in a “let’s wait and see” move, has tried HD on most of its AM stations but is taking it off the air day and night, once tested at each facility."
http://www.rwonline.com/pages/s.0044/t.9917.html
Fred
Some new broadcasters are going to hop on the HD channels of under performing stations on a time-lease basis. They will then proceed to destroy the incumbents because the incumbents are locked into a set way of doing things that's no longer relevant. They are really having a hard time delivering what people want. I have been in a few radio station meetings lately. They are frantically trying to figure things out. And that's without a million HD stations... imagine what's going to happen in a few years with so much competition!?
The fragmentation of the market that all of those channels will bring won't be a good thing for the big chains. It's going to be hard to sell ads with less ratings. Radio stocks are in for a bumpy ride.
HD is a dangerous thing for them. It's a playground for the innovators. I can't wait to see it.
“So, the old consumers don’t want HD. Young consumers think the concept is laughable. Big retailers can’t sell it. And radio companies won’t invest in it. Sounds like a winner to me.”
http://insidemusicmedia.blogspot.com/2007/05/ca...
Fred
I know a huge number of radio stations have installed it, but the consumer uptick is just not there. Wont consumers move to Pandora on the iPhone before they go for HD radio?
PRoales
A reggaetone or a blues or an a cappela station will have fewer listeners but those that listen will like it
Fred
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hdradio.com+pa...
An inexpensive hd module in the phone would ley it tune into hundreds of new stations that are coming onto the air
I predict that the web will be a big part of how many of those stations end up getting programmed
Fred
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hdradio.com+pa...
Fred
Nothing more to add...
Imagine if one of the leadind radio station groups built a web based 'build your own web radio station' service. Like live365 but integrating concepts from last.fm and pandora too
And then imagine if they made the post popular web djs (people like us) the djs for the HD2 and HD3 channels and cut us in on the advertising
Its a new world. And they know that too. It just takes time to move big old lumbering companies
Fred
In those five years, I pitched a show idea to a bunch of commercial stations, and nobody was willing to take a chance on it.
Having found a home for the show in November (on Connecticicut Public Radio), I was faced with deciding how (and where) to actually produce it. Using one of their studios was going to cost me an arm and a leg, so I spent some money and built a studio in my basement.
Enter HD Radio.
What's exciting to me is the fact that HD Radio enables broadcasters to add "sub channels" to their current offerings.
My hope is that with production (and distribution) costs having been dramatically reduced by technology, independent producers such as myself will have the opportunity to create the kind of programming that used to exist in the "progressive radio" era, and that broadcasters will open these sub channels up to less "commercial" material.
I'm not holding my breath where the big players are concerned, but I think that some of the more creative programmers will do some pretty cool stuff with the new audio "real estate" created by HD Radio.
Fred
"HD Hypocrisy"
"Here's a few more reasons why only iBiquity and a few clueless radio group heads could make a big thing out of HD radio tagging... The very damn radio stations that broadcast in HD offer no programming worth listening to. HD Radio is a virtual sewer of formats owners don't want on their terrestrial frequencies and other assorted garbage that no one sane would listen to -- let alone spend money for new radios -- tagging or not."
http://insidemusicmedia.blogspot.com/2007/09/hd...
You'll get no argument from me that "big radio" has done a terrible job of rolling out the technology. Fred is right; people don't buy radios these days, "They buy cars, iPods, and mobile devices". Sirius and XM understand this, and they have done a great job of getting their hardware into new vehicles.
That said, I think "big radio" understands that they have no choice but to support HD Radio, They "get" the clear and present danger of losing audience to companies like XM, Sirius, Apple, not to mention the major wireless players.
The point I was making in my earlier post is that big radio probably isn't going to be the one to create the next wave of compelling content--we are!
Technology has made it so that Podcasters and former on air talent such as myself can produce programming that would have been cost prohibitive to create only a few years ago.
With a few thousand bucks and a little time on "the learning curve", it is now possible to record audio that sounds as good as anything on the big stations, and to distribute it for free over the Internet. (Used to be you had to press CD's and mail them out or rent satellite time.)
I live in an area that is greatly underserved when it comes to stations that play deeper cuts from established artists and turn people on to great new music.
And yet I have stood in a hallway across from a Public Radio program director that can't wait to put an "Adult Alternative" station on a sub channel when he starts broadcasting in HD.
My sense is that when the passionate music lover with a little technical acumen offers to provide him with a reasonably priced show for his sub channel, he'll buy it.
And if there's an HD radio pre installed in my 2010 Prius, I'll be listening.
Fred
This reminds me of a conversation I had with a friend that owned several FM stations.
He remembers having to give away FM converters so that people could listen in their cars...
http://www.hear2.com/2007/11/presto-that-iph.html
http://www.hear2.com/2007/11/radio-on-the-ip.html
It will be interesting, when/if Ford installs HD Radio next year, the number of angry consumers that will be returning their "defective" radios:
“Is HD Radio Toast?”
“There are serious issues of coverage. Early adopters who bought HD radios report serious drop-outs, poor coverage, and interference. The engineers of Ibiquity may argue otherwise and defend the system, but the industry has a serious PR problem with the very people we need to get the word out on HD... In other words, everything you can find on the regular FM dial... The word has already gotten out about HD Radio. People who have already bought an HD Radio are telling others of their experience (mostly bad) and no amount of marketing will reverse this.”
http://www.fmqb.com/article.asp?id=487772
Of course, Ford is an investor in iBiquity - no progress otherwise. This house-of-cards will eventually implode. HD Radio is DOA:
http://hdradiofarce.blogspot.com/
But the idea of digital radio doesn't stop at HD. I see IP based streams being commonplace. By the time 4G is in place that's going to be a reality. I've been listening to streaming internet radio on my Treo for about 3 years now thanks to my $15 unlimited Sprint 3G data plan (and Shure headphones). In 3 more years that experience should easily be transferred to the car (possibly this year thanks to Microsoft). When that happens will we even care about radio, HD or not?
I'll place my bet to win this radio battle on the format that best mimics Last.fm. It probably WILL be Last.fm anyway. CBS had a plan when they bought it for $280 million. Something tells me that this was it.
Last.fm, Pandora, and Slacker al all INTERACTIVE, which HD Radio is NOT - look at the level of interest in HD Radio versus these other technologies:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hdradio.com+pa...
Fred
That said, if the sound quality and interference issues are real and are not resolved, then the technology could indeed be in trouble.
Fred
They are finally taking the right step by asking the FCC to allow them to broadcast at more power. Obviously easier said than done.
You might enjoy this blog entry about the problems of HD reception:
http://radiosherpa.blogspot.com/
Satellite is a niche service because its a paid service
Fred