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If asked most people would tell you no, or only some of the time, not knowing much of what they read is a blog.
What would be a neat stat is the % of blogs vs. the number of websites. From there you could do all kinds of things including determine the number of views per blog. If they are BOTH rising that would be a compelling argument blogs are becoming mainstream.
"Blog" is a publishing format, NOT a description of what you are publishing. Using the generic terms "blogger" and "blogging" doesn't help further understanding of what's going on online and who's involved.
For example, we are former veteran traditional-media people who publish a professional, journalist-run, commercial, community-collaborative news service that happens to be in blog format. Our site has "blog" in its name because frankly I started it as something else entirely four years ago and didn't know any better at the time - but I am adamant in insisting on being called a journalist, not a "blogger" - using the latter makes as much sense as calling a "newspaper" employee a "newspaperer," or a radio-station employee a "radioer."
Describe your work/hobby with words that specify what you do - are you a journalist? diarist? photographer? advocate? rabblerouser? Etc.
In that context, "is blog reading mainstream?" makes as much sense as asking "is reading mainstream?" It's just a publishing format. Let's dispense with the languaging that separates "bloggers" from other writers/publishers, and fold them in, because clearly the time has come.
I am a blogger
But you may find this interesting: http://search.info.pl/is-the-world-wide-web-fla...
I crunch some numbers -- 9.5% of ALL time spent is on AOL websites, only 4.3% is in Google websites (yes, I guess that's INCLUDING YouTube! :O ).
All in all, my conclusion is that the web is largely controlled by just a relatively small number of mainstream websites -- and unless you call sites such as twitter + facebook (+youtube?) "community blogs" (as I do), then my guess is that blogging probably plays a VERY small role (measured in time -- and as we know: time is money ;)
I would be happy for more decentralization -- such that e.g. a community of Venture Capitalists could make authoritative judgments about venture capital news (rather than some one-size fits-all search engine ;)
Also, everybody is looking for their niche likings. In your case, I think the startup/VC world is an emerging field of interest and you have become a trustworthy figure that creates a engaging discussion. Thanks Fred!
Now, whenever you publish something it's likely to get indexed by search engines, making it readable to anyone who's out there who is searching for a term that you're writing about. When you think about it like that, you can see the power that blogging can have, especially when reaching niche audiences.
To me, however, the main issue is that bloggers can, in many instances, provide a higher quality of reporting than many mainstream outlets. More people will flock to blogs as more bloggers prove themselves to be reliable and entertaining sources for news and opinion. That, to me, is the big differential: the stereotype of blogger as angry loser blogging in PJ's from his/her parents' basement is long gone, and professional bloggers are cropping up everywhere.
To Fred's point about the Twitter investment thesis, "blogging" is just another proxy for "software for publishing on the web"
Related:
Quantcast has directly measured data on Wordpress...61M monthly uniques from the US, 214M globally
http://www.quantcast.com/profile-search/wordpre...
Wow
I would like to see the projections of 'publishing' when regions/countries like Africa, China, Latin America increase the adoption rate of technology to do so (PC/Laptop/Phone + Internet connectivity) and reach the level of 'almost saturated'.
Second, borders like censorship and blocking of content breaking down. And third, natural language translation is usable and ubiquitous (eg English to Chinese, Chinese to English, dependent what your language setting is, embedded in your browser [Hello Chrome/Google]).
There is lots of head room in this 'market segment', and for your fund and expertise to expand. Look outside your comfort zone #China. It might be even more rewarding (not only financially) than being invested in US start-ups.
It also depends upon the definition of blogging. If you include facebook and twitter status updates then I would say blogging has gone mainstream. If not, I don't think it has yet, though I think it is on its way.
Even if your pretend Aunt sally hasn't read a blog post (yet) -that her nephew Charlie has, and her nephew does ABC heavior because he reads blogposts, and he drags his Aunt Sally into the funnel of whatever that behavior is- can we measure that as being critical mass? That say Viral Videos will now appear cross mediums because of our nephew Charlie is reading blogs and is engaging in social media. So the tipping point has arrived even if there isn't quite the critical mass, because of how content is being shared across mediums?
My mom reads blogs. And forwards links to friends via email. And posts links on Facebook. As does her mom. And yes, they have me, a web-native, in their family. But still. Grandma's using Facebook.
So that test comes back a whopping "pass" in my book. ; )
What's interesting, is that while they read, the aren't creating content as much yet. For example, they have a tendency to not comment on my girlfriend's blog when they read it, though they'll email her and me with, what are essentially comments.
They have never commented publicly. Not once
I do get emails sometimes
Amateurs and professionals now generate quality content in every niche possible and with such velocity that they are comparable to mainstream sources in almost every facet. I don't care if Techmeme links out to CNET or Louis Gray or a new name blogger, if its there its filtered enough for a click.
Besides anecdotal evidence, I think this is now mainstream because the discussion around finding sustainable models for journalism and associated institutions is gaining steam. Blogs and community driven models fit squarely in that scheme of things. I am very excited about the evolving models and to see where the buck really stops.
Its a mix of bunch of things. Its a niche I can understand so I can discern individually if the content being propped up is meaningful or not, it has general acceptance amongst my peers so it adds to its brand cache, I follow Gabe and have read his side of the story all over the web. But over and above everything else - The product works. I go there 20 times a day and follow the river of stories for changes and I find myself wanting to click day after day.
I think we can all concede that we trust Google for the most part, be it with our searches or emails or feeds or much more. But Google News doesn't cut it for me yet vs. Techmeme. So if their product starts kicking ass, I will spare my attention.
I guess my basic question is: How does it work? Techmeme's about note says "story selection is accomplished via computer algorithm extended with direct human editorial input." How is that different than typing "technology news" into Google? Obviously, both techmeme and Google want you to use their products so that they can sell advertising.... (well, actually IMHO http://past.blog.com/2009/01/17/on-the-web-its-... is the future -- FTC or no FTC ;)
Very few 'star bloggers' in kid's definition on techmeme
Hacker news is the shit, though
Hacker News is a great community more than anything else and I am regular cause of that. As they have intentionally limited stuff like search etc I find myself digging through their archives in G Reader.
This is facebook territory we are talking about and all of them (fb included) are headed to google territory quickly
Off Topic a little - I just wish facebook was not such a mess. I'd use it much more if I had more control and could tailor the content I output to different groups (friends/relatives/professional etc) which must surely be easy enough if they introduced a delicious type of tag system. I'm starting to see the benefit of "my" social stream but I want much more control of what goes out and what comes in.
Thanks, I already have groups set up but as an application Facebook doesn't give me real control of my data stream. It just has a very basic filtering system and you have to dig in to get to that much functionality.
Thanks for the reply because you made me think a little deeper about what I would like from a social application.
i think blog stars will have a distributed presence, but i think they will need their own web site to most richly engage and monetize their community.
this was debated a number of times in the previous discussion on blog stars, though -- many folks made the same points you did. however i still think from a monetization perspective having your own web site (i.e. blog) will prove to be necessary for new media publishers.
i think need for monetization + distributed presence = networks. i'm thinking about the old movie studios, and the stories of starlets discovered at the soda shop counter. what's the path to 'success?' how do we define networks in the digital media age? maybe a subject for a future discussion...
A hub/blog
Active presence on the impt social nets; fb and twitter (and maybe tumblr now)
And very liberal syndication to get on as many aggregation points as possible
Monetize the hub and do the rest as a marketing cost
with the friendfeed acquisition i thought zuckerberg was positioning facebook as the repository of information, home base for your life stream. twitter could complement that as a communication tool, public and private: one to one, one to select group, one to all. and both integrated into a collective social search.
so, back to your question: will there be facebook stars? i think facebook is yet another marketing platform for stars, but a star emerging from facebook? at this point, less likely.
The irony is that mainstream newspapers still have their blogs tucked in a corner of their websites, and treat them almost as 2nd class citizens, or as silos. I wonder if one of them will be brave enough to flip the model on its head, and turn a newspaper into a multi-author blog site as its main face, and then have the rest of the journalism/reporting feed it, instead of the other way around- kind of like HuffPost started out.
I think the major reason why it isn't there yet is related to discovery. By no stretch of the imagination is RSS in mainstream yet. So I would hypothesis that the early adopters are pushing blogs into mainstream media through social distribution on Facebook, Twitter et al.
More and more I'm getting excited about discovery. Search largely drove traffic since Google until now. Social media is doing a lot of heavy lifting in driving traffic today, but I think there's something next. It will be the fusion of search, what we used to call portals (but with large levels of simple personalisation), it will use our social graphs to a degree but it will also leverage principles on which delicious was built on, that being people who share common interests to me, but aren't in my social graph at all.
Before I used Twitter, I used my RSS reader much more, but I have found them cumbersome (although they are improving). So, now, when I find a blog I like I subscribe via email, or check it our manually. My feed reader got too full and busy. I look to my social media connections to feed me new content which I save to Delicuous for future reading and sharing. I think many are using a mix of all of these tools, or just reading ablg and simply bookmarking it on their browser toolbar, like I used to. RSS is not the be all/end all...in my opinion.
Granted my next statement is anecdotal, but people I speak with who re not in the tech world, are less and less frequently asking - so what is a blog. Also blogs and traditional HTML websites are beginning to resemble each other more and more. Social sharing options (share this, add this etc - which began as blogging plug-ins I believe) now offer options to add the feature to an HTML site; many newspapers have added the ability to comment which used to be one main difference that blogs had.
My vote would be, that while it's not mainstream yet, it is certainly much closer to the center than it used to be; just a years a it seemed much closer to the fringes.
Blogs will be mainstream when RSS feeding is mainstream as we largely live in a content consumption world. When Apple comes out with an "iTunes for content" that people can buy or select easily and consume without thinking about, then we're going to see some real mainstream growth.
Both my wife and I read blogs for probably 90% of our news and information. But I think that is because we are used to searching out information. It's nothing to open up the MacBook and hit the internet to find what we're looking for.
My parents, on the other hand, probably don't know what a blog is, even though they are both tech savvy and have been part of the Internet revolution since AOL 1.0 was released in the early 90's. They are used to information being delivered to them via newspapers, TV, etc. They are much less likely to go search the internet and come across blogs as a medium.
So perhaps on the coasts of the country and within certain circles blogs are mainstream, but I think you'd have a hard time making that argument as a blanket statement.
The other mainstream movement is the long tail effect, or the personal blog which has a readership of 10-50 readers. I'm at the age in which friends are beginning to have babies and the majority are setting up blogs to share pictures, videos and stories with families and friends. Setting up a family website was strictly for techies just 5+ years ago - now it's definitely more mainstream and the momentum is only increasing.
thanks
Whilst we might make distinctions on the origins of content, the average internet user doesn't.
They consume what interests them - its source is secondary.
Mainstream adoption of "amateur content" has not come about due to a fundamental change in consumption habits or an active decision to consume more of it but as a result of amateur content being easier to find and access and becoming an intrinsic and non-distinguisbale part of the amorphous mass that is the internet
IMO "blog" does not have to do with amateur / professional -- I see it (simply) as any technology for publishing content with a time/date stamp. That's why I consider twitter, facebook, even youtube (only to a certain degree though, because most of youtube content is not exactly date-specific), etc. to be community blogs.
BTW: AFAIK, there are going also rather significant changes coming to Wordpress (folding WPMU development into the main WP architecture -- maybe with WP3.0).
The fact that blogs used to be for individuals was a historical curiosity. I think the reason why that broke down is to a large degree due to the "nofollow" tag (one of Google's bigger mistakes, it ranks right up there with the YouTube mess) -- introducing the nofollow tag basically removed the community element from blogging, and that's why many such "individual" / "personal" blogs have become ghost towns (and why people moved to twitter to actually exchange information in a community setting). For a while, twitter had a monopoly on this space -- but it looks like that will soon come to an end. It will be interesting to see if Google's + Bing's treatment of twitter as a "special case" (as if it were "premium" or something like that) will actually make those search engines more or perhaps even LESS interesting. My hunch is that it will only turn out to be a rather minor flop, but it may very well fuel more demand for more valuable search properties (such as abhic noted below WRT techmeme).
The term and concept is certainly mainstream now. If someone tells me they have a website, I think blog. Websites with content are updated like a blog, and almost all are structured like one.
The most meaningful difference in the word blog is that it implies something personal.
I'd also like to say I feel the exact same way about my profession (clown). Keep doing what you're doing, and don't let other people's lack of understanding/ignorance bring you down. Concentrate on the people who dig what you do. Good luck.
Kenneth Kahn
aka Kenny the Clown.
Today we have technology that makes communications easier for common people as well as being reciprocal. Most of my time online is spent in direct communications with people who are experts at what they do and have allowed me into their digital world. This is a great way to become educated. Its far better than signing up for a course being taught by someone who is years out of whatever industry that they were once in.
Blogging changes everything. The best communicators will be in control of content now instead of business people. That makes for an interesting dynamics. There's going to be plenty of mayhem as things sort themselves out.
Birds of a feather flock together. You'll become most like the people you spend time with. They are those who influence you. That includes your online time.
You're talking to your own demographic only, even if outside the technosphere.
Read the polls of Pew Charitable Trust:
http://www.pewtrusts.org/our_work_detail.aspx?i...
Only 19 percent of Internet users use Twitter.
Only 19 percent of Internet users are using blogs to work on civil and political issues.
Somewhere on their pages is the 2008 poll about only 30 percent of the electorate reading blogs to get their political opinion to see who to vote for.
These numbers are not changing dramatically.
That is, it depends on what your point is about all this. Perhaps Pew or someone or you can show there are 50 percent or even 80 percent reading blogs. But does that mean just the Shine blog that Yahoo has with the food and shopping tips which is at the Yahoo portal? or what? You're a Better Worldnik, so I would think you'd want not just blog reading, but blog reading that "goes somewhere".
You are forgetting an enormous number of people in this country live off talk radio, and they are not just the conservatives, but the 60-year-olds that turn on NPR first thing in the morning before they read their *paper*.
The only way you could nudge this up is if you start counting sites like the New York Times as blogs. Well, I do.
And if you do that, close to everyone reads blogs