DISQUS

A VC: Is The Exclusive Deal Between Apple and AT&T Anticompetitive?

  • Lee Drucker · 5 months ago
    I have been an avid reader of your blog for over a year, I but have never responded to a post. Usually, I feel that you are so on the mark that I have nothing to add to the conversation- but with this post I feel like there might be something I can add.

    While I understand, the hesitance to subscribe to one mobile provider (I hate subscriptions as well) the government has no business dictating what cell phone providers- such as Apple- can and cannot do with their product. I don't want to make my response too long, but- as we all know- free market is a powerful thing. Apple and ATT are already being punished for their subscription based model. As you noted, you have been a loyal customer of T Mobile for 10 years simply because they you don't have to subscribe to use their phones. That is business (and also probably quite a bit of free advertising) that those companies are missing out on. Now clearly, their model has not hurt them, but that is because for the vast majority of cell phone users a 2 year subscription is not a problem.

    Now, do I agree with you that my life would be incrementally better if I never had to sign up for a subscription? Sure. But the solution is NOT government intervention. We cannot ask the government to intervene on our behalf when it come to cell phone subscriptions- then cry out in rage when they dismantle our bankruptcy laws. The government needs to do less regulation not more. And, they certainly don't need to be stepping to regulate the cell phone contracts that we as free individuals sign.
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    Welcome and a great comment. You did good.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I get the laissez faire argument. But then why is it OK for the government to mandate number portability?
  • Lee Drucker · 5 months ago
    I would argue that it is not ok for the government to mandate number portability. Again, I certainly would prefer a world in which number portability exists- but when the majority of cell phone companies do not allow number portability, an opportunity opens up for a competitor to offer that feature. Just because number portability had not yet come into existence before the government's intervention- does not mean that it would not have.

    I can certainly imagine an entrepreneurial company that would offer a service in which people could "purchase" their cell phone number. It may have been an existing telecom company or just an individual who bought and resold numbers. In either case, if this rogue company was successful, the major players would be forced to adapt and likely offer a similar service to their customers(or simply give away numbers for free- in order to entice customers).

    In either event, number portability COULD have happened without government intervention. And, I would argue that any good that came from forcing number portability down the telecom's throats is greatly outweighed by the damage that is done by such actions. What is worse not having number portability? Or living in an evironment where contracts can be tossed aside on the whim of the politically connected?
  • RichardForster · 5 months ago
    I would have thought principally because it affects every phone user i.e. the whole market rather than a small subset of handset users.
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    Here's why. The carriers own the network. The device maker owns the phone. You enter into an agreement to buy service and buy the phone under whatever terms they offer.

    However, neither the carrier nor the device maker own the telephone number. The FCC -- and by extension the American consumer -- does. So no carrier should be able to lock up the phone number, which is rightfully yours.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Isn't the phone rightfully yours too?
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    The number was yours to begin with (you and I own the FCC, along with the other 300 million Americans). On the other hand, Apple is adding restrictions you agree to before you get the privilege of buying their phone (I don't have to agree with it to recognize this).

    The thing is, nothing can stop you from unlocking your phone. Perhaps it should be easier. But Apple can't stop you from doing it. The only thing they can do is void the warranty.

    Should the government be telling Apple what restrictions they can and can't put on their warranties?

    Intel says the warranty is broken if you tweak your motherboard and run their 2.6GHz processor at 2.8GHz. Is that anti-consumer? How do you distinguish between these two issues?

    I just don't see that government has the ability to determine business models and do this in a smart way. I'd rather see the entrepreneurs take on these kinds of anti-transparency, anti-consumer inefficiencies and defeat them with innovation, because I think it's far more sustainable than a government mandate that, based on past history, is likely to end up stifling innovation more than it helps.
  • Bob · 5 months ago
    Come on, Fred. Is it anti-competitive for VCs to do exclusive deals with start-ups? Should every deal you do be open to every other VC who wants to contribute?
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    It is. Anyone can talk to any entrepreneur. I don't have some exclusive lock on the market
  • Eric · 5 months ago
    Does the current standard suck? Yes. Is it anticompetitive? No. No one is forcing you to buy an iPhone. This conversation would not be taking place in the mainstream except for that huge success of the iPhone. When it comes down to it everyone has a choice. By exercising this choice that is how change is made. If people really don't like the current options given by AT&T and Apple then they don't have to get an iPhone.

    I do think that more transparency would be better for all(maybe not some of the carriers). Allow everyone to see the subsidized costs versus unsubsidized. This way customers could make a decision with all the facts and information.
  • RichardForster · 5 months ago
    I couldn't disagree with you more Fred. Apple should be entirely free to sell their phone in partnership with whatever network they like, at whatever price they like. To me that's the free market, if consumers think Apple have got it wrong then they wouldn't buy the phone and Apple would have to change their business model.

    I don't think it is anti-competitive at all, with an iphone you are buying a device and a network, that's the way it's packaged. That's Apple's choice and you are free to buy or not to.

    I have an iphone bought on contract with O2 in the UK. I came away from T-mobile (who are a better network in my opinion, better coverage,service etc). Sure I wish I could have stayed with T-mobile but if I wanted an iphone I had to move. My choice, I moved and boy am I glad I did, I am not an Apple fanboy but the iphone is one of the best pieces of technology that I have ever bought. There is not a device out there to touch it.

    In reality I'm sure that now the iphone has proven itself that Apple would love to be able to sell it on every network in the world as long as they could dictate the price they sell it at and get the revenue share that they have negotiated with their existing partners.

    In the end the market will sort itself out, another phone manufacturer will come up with something that is either better or good enough to make Apple rethink it's current strategy.

    Now I'm all for an investigation into the mobile networks in the UK because they behave in an oligopolistic manner with regard to their pricing but that's a different issue!
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    Fred, I rarely disagree with you, but here we are. In your next-to-last paragraph, you state "the government should let that market grow and flourish." Yet based on what you advocate, the sentence should read "the government should FORCE that market to grow and flourish."

    One major problem is: that has never before happened in the history of capitalism (government forcing a market to grow and flourish).

    I'm against the government forcing Apple (or any other device maker) to sell product at specific pricing. If that pandora's box opens, there will be no end to the innovation that will be choked off because government micromanagement can't keep up with the speed of business in the 1970s, much less the hyperspeed of business in the Internet age.

    Far better is to look at what the market is doing by itself. Consumers want exactly what you described. In many cases, they are getting it. AT&T now unlocks subsidized phones after 3 months, unless the device maker prohibits them from doing so (a la Apple). I have a BlackBerry Bold 9000 on AT&T, and it was unlocked with a simple phone call. I will put a QikRoam.com SIM card in and roam in Ethiopia in a couple of months.

    The bottom line is that Apple is not only getting the initial subsidy but also ongoing revenue from AT&T through the service plan. Unlock the phone, that revenue stream disappears. So the difference doesn't add up to $399. It probably adds up to $599.

    Should the government force them to sell an unlocked version at $599? It's the equivalent of saying the government should be able to force Boxee to sell its IP to Hulu at an affordable price to help them make Hulu Desktop for the sake of competition. Obviously, the scale of the companies are different, but the same principle applies.

    Antitrust law needs to stop monopolies from preserving their monopolies against competition. In the best scenario, it shouldn't serve to force business models on companies, because government knows nothing about business models, and when it does, it's outdated within weeks.

    Apple should suffer the consequences of lost market share due to not selling an unlocked version of their device. Their choices should create room for competitors (potentially funded by VCs like you) to pounce and steal their market share with a better solution that consumers want.
  • vincentvw · 5 months ago
    A brief comment on exclusivity as well. This is only relevant in the case of monopolistic behaviour. In this case, the only reason that the iPhone appears to be monopolistic is because the competition is simply crap. But no one is stopping other manufacturers from setting up their own app-stores on their own platforms, including distributing them via AT&T. And if you want to argue for the other carriers, then I'm sure plenty of precedents can be found where they themselves form exclusive agreements with a phone-manufacturer.

    You might as well accuse Dell & Microsoft of anti-competitive behaviour because those two come in a bundled package. Bundling is simply a strategic move which can make and break companies. I don't like it, but I don't see a legal/logical case for stopping it.
  • CoryS · 5 months ago
    And Nokia has done just that, have you read the Ovi / N97 review on Gizmodo? Ouch.
  • andrewparker · 5 months ago
    Bundling is different from locking. In a bundle, there is the ability to unbundle... I can rip out Windows on my Dell and install Ubuntu. In the case of locking down phones onto specific carriers, it's an artificial architecture of control. The iPhone is perfectly capable of running on TMobile (minus visual voicemail) as is if it were not intentionally locked by AT&T. So, I think Apple and AT&T's behavior is more anti-competitive (and, more importantly, anti-consumer) than Dell & Microsoft.
  • vincentvw · 5 months ago
    That is true and where AT&T/Apple can clearly be attacked in is in their ongoing exclusive partnership, which is now what, 2 years? That said, this can of worms was already opened up before. The whole mobile industry has actively been restricting consumer-choice for more than 15 years. If AT&T/Apple is to be attacked, then I sincerely hope that this sets a precedent for attacking the other carriers too.

    All of that said, call it exclusivity or bundling, partnerships make strategic sense in a competitive marketplace.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Just the threat of govt action may be all we need to get apple to wake up
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I did run a jailbroken iPhone on tmobile (and blogged about the experience). It worked well
  • sturich · 5 months ago
    While I whole-heartedly agree with you in principle, I can't figure out how to reconcile the fact that AT&T was the only large carrier to take the chance on the iPhone. Surely they should be allowed some limited time exclusivity to reward them for that risk. As JanDawson points out, what else do the major carriers have to differentiate themselves on?
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    Service, customizable plans, phones, the whole gamut. Little nuances of the plans are really different. And those actually do add up in price, especially when you are not a corporate customer.
  • rickg · 5 months ago
    It's been 4 years. How long does ATT need? 5? 10?

    And the reason others didn't take it one was that the network features needed to make things like Visual Voicemail work were costly and, while there was a lot of hype about the iPhone, some carriers didn't feel the investment was the right thing to do.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Price and quality. Like any other common carrier
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    What that misses is that this isn't about AT&T. Apple is driving the thing. They want their $199 for the phone, but they want another $400 in services revenue on top of that.

    Their demand would be a ton lower if the lowest iPhone price was $599. (How do I know? Go look at the demand when it WAS $599 ;>)

    Apple wants $599 per phone with the demand level of a $199 price point.

    That being said, it's still just sheer stubbornness on their part that they won't sell a $599 unlocked version. But they want to control the user experience and have decided on a closed platform to get that. This hearkens back to 1984 and the Mac!
  • Eric Ferraiuolo · 5 months ago
    My iPhone 3GS 32GB is worth $699. In MA you're taxed on the full-price before any subsidies; the state sales tax is 5%, and I was charged $35 tax.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Thanks for that data point. I have a hard time believing that ATT is paying a $400 subsidy. Wow. Shows the value of the monopoly they have on the iPhone to them
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    My understanding is it's a $200 upfront subsidy and another $200 in services revenue over the life of the 2-year contract.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Thanks. That helps
  • vincentvw · 5 months ago
    If there were an unlocked option for $399, I'd buy it immediately. Unfortunately, Apple sells it unlocked (in France) for €749, which comes to about $1050.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    What do they sell it for locked in france?
  • vincentvw · 5 months ago
    I'm not French (nor in France) so other national options may exist, but Orange.fr lists a 32GB iPhone with a 12 year min. contract as €229 base-price + €58 per month for the phone contract for 12 months and €30 per month for unlimited mobile internet for 12 months. That would come to ca. €1310 for that year, with a USD equivalent of ca. $1890.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Ouch
  • Vladimir Vroust · 5 months ago
    The price for a 12 month contract with a 3+3 hours contract and unlimited internet connection is actually €950~ total.
    Other facts are France makes it mandatory for the carriers to offer the phone unlocked, as stated it costs €749.
    The carriers also have the obligation to unlock the phone for free after 6 months.
    The number portability is mandatory and offered by all carriers.
    Finally the exclusive deal between Apple and Orange, the biggest French carrier has been declared illegal for being anticompetitive.
    That makes us a well protected bunch of customers accustomed to changing carriers quite often as we want the latest phones as soon as they're out.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Do you think that's a good thing? That's basically what I am proposing we do here in the US
  • Vladimir Vroust · 5 months ago
    I ear the arguments of pro market people saying that we do not need the government to enforce competition but in this case it just doesn't work. The carriers do not want more competition in the market, they want their users captive so they can make more money, which is fair game for any company. There is a tacit agreement among them not to lower too much their margins.
    I don't think ideology should dominate in economy neither pro market nor european style socialism, I think we should just stick with what works and this is really working for us customers in France.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Thanks for sharing that
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    In a twist of fate, my family happens to be getting new phones right now (disclosure- it's Sprint for the price after much investigating- who happens to be advertising their Pre on your wall right now, again. I helped looked at plans. So did my mother. It took about two weeks. Think on that)

    The entire thing is messed up. Contracts hide the price of the phones, and the hedonics of which phone is better. Contracts make it hard to move and make it hard to compare prices, because they are inexplicitly tied to the phone you have. Not that I mind leasing a phone. But lets call a spade a spade here. It's a lease. In fact, I could see myself buying or re-leasing a gently used phone*, but the standards keep changing too quickly and coverage is spotty. And the lease contracts are written so you end up buying the phone over the term of the contract, or close to the total cost.

    And the uncontracted phone market, where you buy the phone first at true cost, is underdeveloped because they are not the same standard. It makes it difficult to compare cellphone a to cellphone b, because they are rarely the exact same cellphone, for different carriers. The taxes make the market even more distortionary, compared to a land-line, despite the fact that the straight price- it is actually becoming cheaper to own broadband+a cell(all the cheapsake young'un are doing it, and not even for the max minutes).(The newest tax about to be passed- 25% of calls on a cell made by a business owner are now taxed as personal, there you go.)

    Add in totally exclusive cell phone deals- how do I know what the value of the damn things are. The plans are fairly arbitrary, the phones are semi-arbitrary. Differentiating the hedonics of what is better for what price for what need under what circumstance between all of this is a nightmare. It starts becoming a product of regulation and arbitrariness from market distortion.

    I don't mind contracts. I don't mind leasing phones. I mind the way the current system has managed to totally screw up comparing item a to item b on a contracting phone, or a no contracting system. I'm not dumb, I just want to know what I am buying the way I can tell at the supermarket where they label how much an item is per pound. The fact that there are special plans and phones for the elderly and small children disturb me...buying a phone and servicing it should not be this complicated.

    If it hadn't been for the Apple name- I would have found it amazing that phone found a following. It's a nightmare out there. I would not want to suddenly go design a phone today.

    *This is actually a really good option if you have a plan and are really cheap. I happen to know factually that one of the writers at Ars is doing this. He seems very happy with his phone. And I did it with my first phone I ever had. But make sure the tech can be supported.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Totally. Its all about obsfucation and screwing the customer. Something that carriers have mastered and now apple is willingly participating in. Its evil and damaging to their brand. (I wrote that two years ago and I believe it more and more every day)
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    It is so bad right now that I actually just got an offer to redo my family's cellphone plan on the train back home this morning. Or that most people don't realize that if they live alone and don't plan on leaving the country, it is often cheaper to get a prepaid cellphone if all you need is minutes and nothing shnazzy.

    You can't even find a website with fully accurate information. They all explicitly say- ask around about coverage in your immediate area. Cities that may have nearly complete coverage often can have poor coverage in different neighborhoods...or by large buildings, or some other weird situation...

    I can give a great example- I grew up right by Manhattan, and am back home for the summer. There is very spotty coverage for T-mobile in my neighborhood for unknown reasons, despite them technically being covered in this area.

    Telecomm is just messed up.
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    You are dead on about that. This is why I don't think government is the answer. I think a USV funded startup is the answer. :)

    In other words, the market can and should fix this problem if enough innovative thinkers tackle it.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I don't have enough money to take this one on

    But google does :)
  • BmoreWire · 5 months ago
    I would pay more for an unlocked version, considering every time I go over to Europe (2x in the past year) I got slammed with a $600 cell phone bill.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    That's but one reason why we need open phones, but its a damn good one
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    We need something bigger than that- err- I've gotten bills that large from texting when renting a phone abroad, in Israel, for a year. (This was a while ago)

    The Europeans did not though. a lot of it has to do with the fact that our mobile services across the world, depsite technically being portable, are not seen as inter-country and intercontinentally portable. Having billing schemes and plans that respect the idea that the phone could literally be attached to your hip all day and night except when you shower and charge it, no matter what part of the world, might be useful.
  • JanDawson · 5 months ago
    Several points to make here:
    1. The whole current system is broken because of the lack of transparency over real phone prices and the nature of subsidies. None of the carriers wants to make the system more transparent because they fear scaring or confusing customers. But transparency would help a lot, including the carriers, notably in the case of the iPhone 3GS subsidies.
    2. The other (large) carriers were also offered the iPhone, but declined, because the conditions imposed by Apple were unpalatable. Apple didn't approach smaller carriers because they didn't have the market share to make it worthwhile - so they are the only ones losing out here.
    3. Exclusivity was required because Apple wanted to do something very different from what's been done before, and they needed a carrot to make that happen. Take away the exclusivity and the whole model would change.
    4. I'd argue that the whole system of device exclusives exists because it's so hard for the carriers to effectively compete on other items - devices are one of the few real differentiators out there, since network quality, coverage and reliability are so similar, prices are very similar etc.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Great points. Thanks for sharing this with us
  • TJGodel · 5 months ago
    I couldn't agree more that the Apple and AT&T agreement is anticompetitive. I have traveled worldwide and lived in a few countries in Europe and it's striking how much control and restrictions have been placed on telecom consumers in the United States. What is not known is the impact telecom companies have on the productivity and innovation in our country. Only with the iPhone have carriers seen the light and started loosening their iron grip on the handset functions and features that are allowed to run on their network. Ironically Verizon wireless, our largest wireless carrier, determined that it's future profitability depends on a variety of devices run on their network and supported by a third party and not the local Verizon Wireless outlet.

    We need to unleash productivity and innovation with a broadband wireless future, but we can't get there when we are stuck with every carrier demanding exclusive contract for every new innovation that might come along.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Yeah. That last line is my big issue. Thanks for saying what's on my mind way better than I did!
  • DBM · 5 months ago
    Although I appreciate the fact that AT & T took the "risk" of the Apple revenue share, let's be realistic. It was a slam dunk sure thing that it would be a hit. So as long as they were breaking even or better, it was worth it for the relationship. I used to hate the 6 month Palm relationship with Sprint (they always got the new models w 6 months of exclusivity before other carriers). Now I don't care because I don't care about Palm.....BUT, bottom line, we should be able to choose phones separately from carriers. Ironic that in this country, we wouldn't allow one standard (we still have CDMA, GSM, and left over IDEN) - but we allow this. In most of the rest of the world, GSM was always the only standard. That's why wireless growth there took off at the beginning so quickly. If we bought unlocked phones we'd still have the chip issue - people might not realize the iPhone wouldn't work on Verizon - but why not unlock them and let people decide.
    I will say though, personally I still pick the subsidy. Even with the contract, I believe (not sure) my breakup fee is 175.00. I still come out ahead breaking the contract and switching. It's the fact that I had to open a T-Mobile account to get my 8900 Curve (now they are also on ATT) that bugs me.
    Wirefly is always cheaper by the way, not sure why.
  • ErikSchwartz · 5 months ago
    A slam dunk just like the Apple TV?

    The smartphone market is a small percentage of the overall mobile market. Apple was going into a space in North America against a company with passionate audience with a dominant market share.

    This was no slam dunk.
  • DBM · 5 months ago
    The hype, anticipation and excitement ahead of the iPhone will go down in marketing history (my opinion) - especially coming off the success of iPods and iTunes. People were already walking around w iPods - why not just add a phone and carry just one thing. People thought it would be a combination of an iPod and a Phone - not a "smartphone". I don't recall pre-hype like it for Apple TV or what successful Apple product would have been the launchpad - iTunes video maybe? But no hardware . We can agree to disagree - I personally just don't think this can compare.
    Also consider the source (me) who has almost every Apple product known but never even considered Apple TV - a mini w Boxee, but never Apple TV.. So I may be biased.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    When they ship a real TV, and it will be a beatiful one (think of a cinema monitor hanging on your wall), with the guts of a mac mini in it and running front row, they will have millions buying them. That's what boxee is up against
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    But they did dunk and hard. The rim is still shaking!
  • kidmercury · 5 months ago
    to understand why government regulation is a bad idea here, try reading this post and replacing the words "government" and "justice department" with "criminals." after all, that is a more accurate description of the US federal government.

    part of the reason there are so many problems is because of consumer apathy regarding brands. the fact that at&treason is even considered to be a remotely respectable company reflects american consumers' willingness to tolerate unethical corporations. few if any of us are saints, i certainly am not, but at&t takes it to a whole new level. remember it is a well-documented fact that at&t has participated in NSA wiretapping and surveillance initiatives. this is a violation of the 1978 foreign intelligence surveillance act in addition to being entirely unconstitutional. i know it is trendy to disregard protection of basic liberty and privacy rights in the land of the free, but it is still worth noting for old timers like myself who long for a return to principles of the US constitution.

    here is a nice list of why at&t sucks beyond all belief.

    we need to make at&t pay big time, free market style, for their immoral behavior. if we put up with it, then we only have ourselves to blame for the telecom problems in the US. a criminal government is no place to look for those seeking justice, but perhaps the free market can be if consumers are vigilant and willing to demand honesty and fair practices.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Nice idea but were not gonna have a consumer revolution against ATT and Apple here in this country. A full blown revolution, the kind you are hoping for, is more likely. And that's not too likely either
  • kidmercury · 5 months ago
    well not with that type of attitude we're not! :) why be such a downer fred, why not try being an optimist like me? :D

    to clarify for those who may be reading i am not referring to a violent revolution, in fact the exciting thing about freeconomics is that it will bring violent revolutions to an end, as they will no longer be economically feasible. instead revolutions will require psychological warfare and not physical warfare (think mean girls, not saving private ryan), because it will be about getting people to use your currency. control over monetary policy is really all that matters.

    also IMHO if we have a full blown revolution, it will have an enormous impact on all companies, including companies like at&treason and crapple. there is a reason why other countries do not produce such companies on a regular basis like we do here in the states, it is primarily because it is extremely difficult to build world-changing companies like that without a stable currency.

    there are those who acknowledge all the problems i ruin everyone's day by talking about (i.e. 9/11 truth, global warming hoax, monetary policy, etc) who also think an imminent change is unlikely. ron paul is the most credible member, in my opinion, of this camp. these people basically say revolutions take time, and so we need to plant seeds for the next decade before people wake up. they cite the american revolution and many other historical revolutions as evidence, and thus make a compelling argument. however my rebuttal is that there is a little somethin' somethin' called the internet which is going to drastically accelerate this process this time around. i also believe that there is spiritual stuff going on that will accelerate the process, although that is obviously off the deep end even by kook standards so i don't push that argument too much.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I'm up for a bloodless revolution. But I don't like to see people killed
  • kidmercury · 5 months ago
    9/11 truth + virtual currencies = bloodless revolution
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    Don't make me be mean- Heathers is not my ideal. I like being an innocent too much for that.

    ;)
  • MattCope · 5 months ago
    This is an interesting post.

    Fred, I think the most forceful piece of this argument is buried in the third-to-last sentence: "It's in the long term interest of the mobile tech business here in this country."

    If you had started from this premise and explained why outlawing these exclusive contracts would benefit mobile tech (and, in turn, our economy as a whole) the argument would have had much more currency.

    However, the premise you started with was "Of course the contracts are anti-competitive, because they should be required to sell an unlocked version." In other words, they are anti-competitive because they should be anti-competitive.

    So, I don't agree with the argument as presented. But I wish we all could learn more about why you think these contracts aren't in the interests of mobile tech. Maybe then I could be persuaded.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    So true. I just replied to an earlier comment that he made the right point and I did not
  • Siminoff · 5 months ago
    Also one thing to remember is that ATT does not have a 2 year contract on the iPhone customers. They have a 2 year agreement that has a $175 termination penalty. When I bought my new 3GS I got a new contract and canceled it the same day.

    I like you hate the idea that someone has me "locked in" and I am always willing to pay an extra $175 to be free.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    That's says to me that the subsidy is pretty close to the early termination fee. What do you think Jamie?
  • Siminoff · 5 months ago
    Exactly, and I like you would rather just pay it up front rather than having it buried in these add on 2 year "contracts"
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    I don't see how it solves the problem. The phone is still locked. All you got for your $175 is the ability to turn off the service and turn your new iPhone into a very expensive iPod.

    Am I missing something?
  • Siminoff · 5 months ago
    You are correct, however I was going more to the point that it is really not a 2 year contract, but more a agreement with a small breakage fee ($175).

    The fact that once that happens the phone is becomes a iPod is beyond ridiculous. Good point there.
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    Agreed :)
  • Vadim Kilshteyn · 5 months ago
    I disagree with your article since that is exactly what's happening. You can purchase an unlocked phone from the store/carrier and that's why there is usually a $200 markup. Although I've been with T-Mobile for last 6/7 years, I decided to purchase an iPhone 3GS 32GB, with a 2 year contract it's $299. However, if I choose to break the contract, I can keep the phone, just have to dish out an additional $200 (that Apple paid as a subsidy).
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    You can purchase a phone without a contract, but it's not unlocked. You still have to jailbreak it to use it on T-Mobile or overseas.

    Fred is saying it should be an unlocked phone you can use anywhere. Apple doesn't want to do that because they lose the revenue stream when you hook it up to ATT.

    But there is a long list of things Apple is stubbornly dumb about (despite their brilliance elsewhere). Should the govt force them to have unsealed batteries, too? Those $85 charges when a battery wears out are pretty anti-consumer too.

    My point is simply this is pandora's box and I think those of us in the innovation industry should think twice about wanting it opened. These dumb decisions by big companies are usually struck upon as openings for innovators, not openings for government regs.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I hear you aaron. But I want to govt to force an open, transparent, and truly competitive market. Not a price point
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    Well, if we're not forcing a price point, it's a different story. While neither Apple or AT&T currently constitute a monopoly, you could potentially argue under antitrust law (caveat: I'm not a lawyer) that they are colluding to preserve their relatively dominant market positions.

    That could lead to an argument that Apple could mitigate the issue by selling an unlocked version of the phone at whatever price point suits them.

    This reminded me of the original discussions around Apple's strategy. The bottom line is, they wanted services revenue rather than just hardware revenue. At one point, they thought about leasing cell minutes wholesale and you would have to sign up for Apple cell phone service to get an iPhone. Then they realized that would eliminate the free mobile-to-mobile calling people enjoy with half of their friends, so they went to the carrier approach.

    But if you get past the services revenue by having a higher price for an unlocked phone, Apple had another impetus for this deal: they wanted to control the user experience. Features like visual voice mail, etc., don't work without specific wireless carrier integration. Apple is one of the most stubborn companies in the world when it comes to making boneheaded decisions in the name of what they think makes something cool (i.e. sealed batteries).

    The bottom line is, Apple is a closed platform. They get all their cool factor from the "it just works" and they have bet that people will put up with closed to get that.

    It didn't work for the desktop. Will it work for mobile?

    As cool as I think the iPhone is, I think it needs to be defeated by all of the other mobile OS vendors getting together and coming up with a single standard for HTML-based mobile apps that install and have full access to the phone. Palm is the farthest along with this.

    If I were Palm, I'd be going and cutting deals with BlackBerry right now to make a WebOS for BlackBerry, and I'd be going to Google right now to cut a deal on making a single standard for apps on WebOS and Android.

    Microsoft would be the odd one out, but if you open source the app standard, they could build it into Windows Mobile if they were smart.

    Then you'd have two app standards for developers to build on, and the battle lines would be drawn: open vs. closed. I know it's not a straight line, but I think the phone makers would quickly adopt the ability to buy the phone "open" as well.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I agree about apple. I've said as much on this blog frequently which brings out the apple fanboys with a vengeance. Its not pretty
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    For your Kindle-
    http://www.amazon.com/Whither-Socialism-Wicksel...

    I don't think that is fully possible, though you can get close.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Thanks!
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    You're welcome- Now if only Kindles were social the way paper books are.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    That was a blog post here at AVC a few months back
  • neekolas · 5 months ago
    Wouldn't it be nice if you could just get that $200 if you didn't elect to buy a phone through the carrier. How many people hit an upgrade, or sign a new contract, and already have a phone they like? All of those people are incented by the current system to get a 'free' phone and leave it in a drawer (or put it on craigslist). That's just wasteful. There are a lot of natural resources that go into making something like a cell phone, nevermind financial resources from the carrier.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    That's one of the costs of an obfuscated market
  • ErikSchwartz · 5 months ago
    Should Apple be forced to make a CDMA version of the iPhone so I can use it on VZW?

    If not, why not?
  • J Beast · 5 months ago
    Should disney, fox, universal etc. be required to make VHS and beta. Naw.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    No because cdma sucks. The market should adopt GSM as the worldwide standard.
  • Paulhwa Lee · 5 months ago
    First, I find it ironic that although the GSM standard was designed with the ability to switch carriers without switching phones in mind, the carriers have been able to get around this with the use of restrictive contracts. Even though we are able to unlock the phones after a few months, there is still some resistance and obfuscation about it. We can't merely slide out a AT&T sim card and slide in an Orange sim card.

    Second, I think we are lacking a healthy retail market for the sales of phones. A government mandate for the sales of unlocked phones would be a step in the right direction. But even with the mandate, one could conclude that the carriers are anti-competitive because their phone "subsidies" stifle the establishment of the retail market. Currently, the carrier still controls the primary distribution channel for phones sold in the US because most people probably buy their phones from the carrier (booths and retail stores set up by the carrier or some store with a partnership with the carrier). By subsidizing the phones with a contract bundle, it is making it hard for the establishment of the retail market because its just hard to compete with the pricing. I think we can see the impact of the lack of a retail market on mobile technology by observing that in other countries where the newest phones with the newest technologies are sold, there is a retail channel.
  • Dave · 5 months ago
    in your second point are you advocating regulation to the extent of a ban on subsidies?
  • Paulhwa Lee · 5 months ago
    No, i just think that a robust retail market is one of the ways to increase transparency and innovation. If there are other ways than a ban on subsidies to achieve this then great. I also think that if there is active intervention from any party in preventing the formation of a robust retail market then those parties should be examined closely. I think the lack of a retail market is also a reason why we are still using set-top boxes seem to have barely changed since the 1980s. As you know, set-top boxes are for the most part controlled by the operator. If something isn't done about mobile phone technology, then perhaps an extreme and perverse alternate reality that may become possible is that mobile phone technology will regress to a parallel of the innovative stagnation of set-top box technology.
  • Paulhwa Lee · 5 months ago
    I think it is generally agreed that a lack of regulation of the cable tv markets will cause stagovation (if there is such a word).
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    I don't think that will fully happen. The rest of the world is more vested in their tech. While we might really lag, (in some ways we do, I've heard Japanese phones are amazing.), I don't think phone innovation will ever go away completely as people will travel and want the hot stuff they see elsewhere.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Set top boxes are going to go away completely in the next 10 years
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Hmmm. Excellent points. I hope the Justice Dept is reading this thread. Good points on both sides of the issue
  • Dan Lewis · 5 months ago
    Other carriers had the option of bidding on the iPhone contract, and it is fair to assume that Apple went with the best (if not only) one. It's true that a consumer must use AT&T if they want to use the iPhone, but how is that *anti-competitive*? I don't see it, and you dismiss it as obviously true.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Its anti-competitive because we don't have a truly open, transparent, and innovative market at work here in the US
  • Seth Lieberman · 5 months ago
    Two issues here- phone subsidy and phone locking. I think AT&T is the most egregious about phone locking for GSM phones- T-mobile will unlock your phone for you after 90 days of use, all you have to do is ask. Not perfect, but not so bad. Every company offers a discounted rate for a longer term commitment on their products, in this case a hardware subsidy.
  • aaronklein · 5 months ago
    AT&T unlocked my BlackBerry Bold with a simple phone call. I think you have to be an account in good standing and 90 days after activation.

    I have a roaming SIM card and have already tried it, works great.
  • Steven Kane · 5 months ago
    Amen.
  • Justin Bigelow · 5 months ago
    I don't see the Apple/AT&T deal as being anticompetitive, not with all the other carriers and phones available out there. I'm not a fan of the government stepping in and dictating market changes just to accomodate a sense of entitlement from consumers as opposed to correcting true monopolistic practices from a single company with no true competitors (U.S. Steel, AT&T pre-breakup, etc...)
  • rod_edwards · 5 months ago
    Certainly government has a role to address monopolistic behaviour, but I don't imagine that to extend as far down the value chain as dictating contract terms. As a compare and contrast point, what's your take on the pharmaceutical industry, and their right to ROI at the expense of patients?
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Don't get me started on patents!
  • andrewwatson · 5 months ago
    I, too, have been a T-mobile customer for a long time, although I've taken the subsidy a couple of times to get new phones since I had no plans to leave. I 100% agree with your philosophy that my devices should be portable between carriers, though. I've always felt like that, even back in the days when I had a Treo.

    I would LOVE to have an iPhone. I've been a Mac user since I was 5yrs old. I'm a huge Apple fanboy. But I haven't gotten one because I would have to switch to AT+T. The same for the Pre - It's automatically not an option for me, regardless of features, because I'm not switching to Sprint. Ever.

    Also, I work for a company that directly competes (vigorously) with AT+T for customers and I can't justify turning over a chunk of my take home pay to a direct competitor.

    My hope is that the Android platform will force Apple's hand. I'm hoping that phones built on Android will have a lot of the same features (plus some new ones) and that it will be a significantly more open platform. If Android can hold its own against Apple, their only response to it will be openness.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Great point. The market has failed to force apple's hand to date. That would clearly be a better outcome than govt intervention
  • andrewwatson · 5 months ago
    Funny coincidence... the ad that was presented to me in Google Reader while reading this post was for the Samsung Eternity which looks like a desparate iPhone wannabe. And now the ad on the right side of this page is for a Pre which is as well but fell short by a wide margin.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Hey were doing our part to foster comeptition!
  • John Stack · 5 months ago
    Fred! A veritable lightening rod of an article / statement.

    Calls to action - perhaps in twitter?

    #myphoneshouldtravel

    Thousands changed their icons in support of holding new Iranian elections, Can we do it here at home?

    Perhaps not since there are still waiting lines for 3Gs in places... but I'll try anyway.
  • Jamie Lin · 5 months ago
    Well said, Fred.

    In most Asian countries (ex. Japan), you can basically choose any phone to go with any carrier. You can still sign a term contract with a carrier to get a subsidy but whatever phone you buy is never locked. The end result is you get phones at much cheaper prices and you also get plans at much cheaper prices. The American wireless industry is on the verge of becoming an oligopoly so it's indeed time for government to do something about it and make sure consumers enjoy the benefits of competition.
  • Andrew Meyer · 5 months ago
    Fred, the "Tweet & Track" link in your Feedflare adds each of your posts to my bit.ly shortened history. Must be some odd bug. Kinda wish I knew how to remove it from my bit.ly history or stop the buggy subscription.

    Help!
  • Andrew Meyer · 5 months ago
    This is what the odd A VC/feedflare bug does to my bit.ly history: http://twitpic.com/9mke3
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I'm on it. That's just messed up. I'll get bit.ly to help me fix it

    And I'll ask them to clean up your history
  • Andrew Meyer · 5 months ago
    Thanks, Fred. I've been contacted by bit.ly support.
  • kortina · 5 months ago
    Andrew, do you mean that clicking "tweet and track" adds to your bit.ly history, or that somehow by just viewing the feed things are getting added to your bit.ly history? Please email me support@bit.ly and I'll try to figure out exactly what's going on here. Also, please let me know where the tweet and track is causing problems with you (eg, if it's in an RSS reader which one, is it on avc.com, or on feedburner, etc).
  • Andrew Meyer · 5 months ago
    Kortina, I read this blog by visiting directly, I don't read using feed. Fred's posts are added to my bit.ly history automatically without me using the bit.ly shortener. I'm just guessing the "Tweet and Track" feedflare is the culprit since I clicked on it once because it looked like this: http://twitpic.com/9smyy

    BTW Bit.ly support has contacted me and I'm sure they will get this figured out soon.
  • kortina · 5 months ago
    Andrew, this is the intended behavior of the Tweet and Track button. You can
    always delete a link from your bit.ly history, however, by using this delete
    button that shows up next to each item in your history:
    http://files.getdropbox.com/u/800/JingPublic/20...

    If you have any more questions, please email support@bit.ly
  • Andrew Meyer · 5 months ago
    Really?! How do undo this feature? I don't feel like deleting links from my bit.ly history every time I read A VC. It is a hassle.
  • Druce Vertes · 5 months ago
    Agreed, and the app store is also anticompetitive.

    Suppose Microsoft offered a hardware/OS platform where software vendors had to sell only through the Microsoft 'store', Microsoft determined which applications were permitted, and ISVs paid a huge chunk of the gross to the hardware vendor.

    I love Apple, but they are so dominant in consumer smart phones that they will have to open up.

    We are getting a glimpse of what the world would have looked like if Apple had dominated PCs... plenty of 'taste', but not much room for innovation, unless you're Apple.
  • Druce Vertes · 5 months ago
    I would also add that via the bandwidth auction the government sets the rules... as new bandwidth is opened up they should ban monopolistic practices.

    The government should tread lightly but set rules that foster competition and prevent market players from exercising market power to stifle competition and screw consumers.

    You wouldn't have an auto/highway system unless the government set standards, built roads (even including using eminent domain to build highways).
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Open spectrum is what I'd like to see. We don't need to break up our spectrum like that. Just like packet swtiched beat circuit switched, open spectrum will beat closed spectrum
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Totally agree druce
  • RichardForster · 5 months ago
    But surely one of the reasons that Macintosh failed to dominate is because there was competition, the pc and windows gave consumers more choice, more computing power.

    I agree that they will have to open up once the competition catches up or they will make the same mistakes again as they did in the 90's with Macs.
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    Not that they are failures (far from it) but Apple would be a very interesting company if they unbundled the OS and their software from their hardware.

    The software is beautiful and priced right, The hardware- overpriced and not driven enough by the market.

    Especially for the high end machines- for some niche groupsl, Apple has a great OS, but doesn't provide enough power (the standards graphics card has to be replaced, not 64 bit, ect, ect.) Separating might force innovation, as well expand the market.
  • Mark Essel · 5 months ago
    I paid $599 for my 3Gs yesterday. I don't want any strings or an obligation to use a carrier that I have no say in. It's a crap deal for choice, and I almost swore off apple because if it. I'm pragmatic enough to realize the benefits that this phone had over my original iPhones speed. It'll save me time in the long run (I often am on 3G while out walking far from home).

    Imagine free Internet (broadband+) for everyone. That's where I want to see mobile devices in 5-10 years, with no extra charge for voice data...
  • L.Marie Joseph · 5 months ago
    When is the next round of funding for USV?
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    You mean our next fund?
  • Timmy · 5 months ago
    You say the government should step in and let the market flourish. *LET*???
  • josh guttman · 5 months ago
    Good argument, but I think you're in the minority of people who would/could pay full price for phones for the privilege of network freedom. I agree the European system is better, but there aren't as many networks competing for customers and they're more regionalized over there. Over time, I think there will be consolidation and the systems will become more similar. If you figure out how to work the system, I find that the cut-throat competition for subs can be to the users advantage. I was able to get an iphone and a curve 8900, both heavily discounted, on the same network within a 6-mos timeframe by playing that card.
  • marcelofrontiereconomy · 5 months ago
    I think it will eventually boil down to the question of what would it take to sidestep carriers. The economics of countrywide RF coverage feel like a weird legacy compared to the Internet networking model.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I like your thinking
  • ShanaC · 5 months ago
    My truly revolutionary idea: Just get everyone together and collude that the 4g tech (whatever that is) that will underline the network will all be the same.

    We are painfully doing so for TVs, why not phones?
  • David Sanger · 5 months ago
    I just spent an hour with AT&T today and was assured that the contract is just for the phone plan, not the data service or the phone itsef. That means you can remove the iPhone and stop the data service, and just use a plain celll phone on the plan for the remainder of the two years.

    Nonetheless there's no other carrier to take the iPhone to, so the monopoly there certainly is a problem.
  • Michael Koby · 5 months ago
    Because my response would have been too lengthy to post here, I have written a response to this post on my own blog at

    http://www.mkoby.com/2009/07/08/short-term-excl...
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Thanks. I'll go check it out
  • marshal sandler · 5 months ago
    I currently have AT&T cell service -when my contract expires I am going to T-Mobile dealing with AT&T is like shaking hands with an empty glove-we have an unlock feature in our LG views that can not be eliminated or controlled-the dam phone locks immediately and if you are in voice mail jail a redial is usually necessary -when we bought the phones the store assured us that we could increase the locking to gave us more time before lock activated-just call tech -support tech support told us it was preset and we couldn't but we could buy another phone without feature! For Full Price AT&T has a lot of government contracts http://www.homeland1.com/homeland-security-prod... so they are wired in I am wired out !
  • álvaro ortiz · 5 months ago
    Here in Spain it works the way you want: you can buy it with subsidy and two-year contract and you can buy it more expensive without the two-year contract. In some other european contracts the phones are free by default, there can't be exclusivity.

    Regarding the network, althoug it has been paid by a private company, in some ways it could be thought as a public service, so I agree with you that it should be free... As with buses (at least here in Spain), when you get a license you also get the obligation to serve less populated areas that are not profitable but that are considered as public service.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    I think europe has got the mobile phone market figured out better than the US
  • sachmo · 5 months ago
    I know this is somewhat unrelated, but about a week or two ago you posted a thread about Bing and why we should give it a try. Somehow from there we started talking about Windows and the possibility of a Google OS. It seems Google was way ahead of us:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/technology/co...
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Yup
  • Mike Nolan · 5 months ago
    Amen!

    I traveled around the world quite a bit in the past few years, and am always amazed at how inexpensive unlocked GSM phones are in other countries.

    Land in South Africa, pick up a phone and a $50 card for around $75... pop in another $50 card in Germany, etc. If the kids lose one, or it gets broke, no big deal.

    We left a lot of phones behind as gifts to hosts and new friends.

    And here's a cool tip - have your skype local number forward to your newly purchased overseas phone.

    The downside - I have a Motorola that has the menus stuck in German. I just loaned it to a friend as a replacement phone, and it is driving him crazy!


    Mike
  • paramendra · 5 months ago
    "Just like it is the law of the land that phone numbers are portable from carrier to carrier, it should be the law of the land that phones should be portable from carrier to carrier. Anything else is anti-competitive."

    I wholeheartedly agree. To me it feels like one of those things that should have already been always done.
  • Tim Uden · 5 months ago
    I'm getting an iPhone 3GS when they're available in a week. In Australia we have a choice of five networks carrying the iPhone and if you're on a contract most will unlock your phone for free. After all they're guarranteed to make money off you when you have signed a two year contract.

    I don't mind being on a contract (contract is usually cheaper than prepaid and I can get my phone for free) but I wouldn't buy a phone that I couldn't get unlocked because when I travel I always buy a local SIM to stick in the phone.

    If I wanted an unlocked iPhone off contract I would buy a prepaid one for and get it unlocked. Most carriers in Australia will unlock a prepaid mobile after $80 credit has been added to the account.

    I'm not sure if this is the result of regulation or if it's just the good old competition. Generally I'm against the idea of any government regulation, but I think it is wrong that a phone locks you into a carrier. If you are on a contract the phone should be unlocked, alternatively you should be able to buy the phone unlocked for a higher price if you want to.
  • fredwilson · 5 months ago
    Sounds like australia's got it right, as usual