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Getting Computer Science Into Middle School
If anything, the global financial crisis should teach us all that setting the bar for entrance on being an "expert" is a recipe for groupthink and really bad outcomes, something that I blogged about in:
Getting Real: On Doomsday, the Demise of So-Called Experts and the New Arbitrage
http://bit.ly/tjd3
Check it out if interested.
Mark
speaking as an expert is giving advice.
speaking as a non-expert leads to discussion.
http://blogs.harvardbusiness.org/merholz/2009/0...
A separate lesson I'm learning - I really need to put up good filters so I don't over-expose myself to self-reinforcing information streams or the 5% fringe that make me cynical even though good debates/things may be happening. There just aren't that many forums that let folks both engage and think for themselves. I need to expose myself to real debate about the issues (and not debate about the debate or politics). Places like aVC work, quite simply, because it's a forum of intelligent, independent thinkers.
It's a great book on how we will hold on to what we believe for self-preservation by embracing supporting information and dismissing conflicting information.
So where do independent thinking people learn from differing points of view on the web? So far, it is serendipity. The fact that there is a civil discussion here attracts quite a robust conversation!
K. Warman Kern (@comradity)
The spirited but civil atmosphere you've established here for political discussion is refreshing. When it's just intransigents exchanging volleys of acrimony, there's no point to it.
You have a right to free speech, as do your readers, but public speech will always bring the haters. Your choice is to press on and take (or ignore) the criticism or stick to less contentious topics.
You learn so much by just hanging around.
We have made it so through the wholesale and unfettered presence of special interests, lobbyists and money.
How many politicians engaged in the current healthcare debate would rise to the following proposition?
You can get exactly the legislation you desire as it relates to healthcare but you have to promise not to run for re-election thereafter. Deal?
How many?
NOT ONE FREAKIN' ONE!
Hell, I even like the progression of President Obama from State Senator to US Senator to President (though I think he could have used a bit more seasoning at the US Senate level but timing in life is everything and his timing was perfect).
I hate folks who settle in and camp in their jobs. The next you know they are spanking lobbyists! LOL
Given that history, what platform would you want a third party to campaign on?
This phenomenon is at the root of the town hall meeting food fights. Locals think their guy has become a "national" rather than retaining his local grounding. They fear he no longer represents their view of things. And maybe, just maybe, he does not.
Even more puzzling is the fact that on a one on one basis these politicians often revert to their original form.
I have a local Congressman who is wildly liberal on social issues and with whom I rarely agree on social programs but he is quite conservative fiscally. We will often have lunch and spend a couple of hours talking about business or job creation and you could not tell our conversations apart from one with Newton Gingrich. Some time thereafter the Congressman is using pejorative descriptors about Republicans while during our lunch he was a paragon of decorum and courtesy.
I have a pretty damn thick skin so I am not complaining about using the right fork for shellfish but it is a puzzle to me.
They are crazy even to those who are simply leaning in the same direction but who have not yet crossed the line to truly crazy.
We have some who travel back and forth and this creates a bit of confusion as some believe them to simply be outliers and others perceive them to be crazies.
America seems to be a "center right" country which unfortunately is being averaged center right by an increasingly polarized span. I think we are pretty damn center right and I could even live with it if we were a bit center left.
I am tired of the crazies on both sides. I suggest we lengthen the season and increase the limit --- ooops, maybe I'm crazy?
I wouldn't read here if it didn't at best alter my position and at worst challenge my convictions.
ps it would be awesome if my name linked to andyswan.com. I've got a google battle with a college baseball player and a musician that I need to dominate :)
deal just something us two-bit bloggers have to try for :)
deal just something us two-bit bloggers have to try for :)
I am reading stuff right now about the origins of the Royal Society and the French academy, and it is surprising how informal and open to apparent "outsiders" they were in the early decades of their existence.
The challenge, finding a way to wrap our lives around a new business and vice versa. Each time I read about a successful entrepreneur there's a clear history of heroic effort. Only folks that truly love what they do can sustain that commitment.
He asked me --- "Do you think the guy who discovered fire had a PhD?"
I think part of the problem is that discourse nowadays has bordered on intensely personal, where your political values are determined in large part by your moral predilections. Because many people find contrary political opinions to be personal attacks, and respond that way, political discourse seeping into otherwise "agnostic" grounds (like this tech blog) is feared by many wary of this ludicrous antagonistic situation.
Just as much as people have a right to express themselves, they have a right to be heard with an open mind without being attacked (within reason, of course, which is the line that gets blurry).
I kid! I kid cuz I love!
Unfortunately, the federal government is muzzling political expression with unconstitutional laws like McCain-Feingold.
I would be careful how you pay the bills for the blog, because the FEC may come after you for being funded by funds from big corporations and special interests.
And whatever you do, do not do a political post 30 days before an election. That is not allowed.
On a lighter note, if people were only allowed to talk about things they know something about, it would be really, really quiet out there.
Personally I read AVC for the combination of the posts AND the comments. There's a great group of folks here. I don't spend a lot of time on sites where I am in 100% agreement. I prefer to learn and interact. Keep it up.
And as someone was once remarking to me- who is yourself? What face do you show?
http://feeds.feedburner.com/avcventurecapitalan...
As far as folks making absurd critiques of what you said in your blog, they are just trying to piggyback off your hard work and fame by being a contrarian.
So true!
So where do you go to "listen to informed and interested political opinions?"
K. Warman Kern (@comradity)
And one might argue -- not only the right, but the responsibility. Open and spirited discourse is one of the staples of a vibrant democracy.
Keep up the good work.
Some of the most interesting political conversations I have ever engaged in were on the Sailing Anarchy site. The conversations were interesting because you had an audience that was a cross section of the population that was not drawn together by a common political interest.
Besides, half the reason I read this blog is to see what my fellow readers write.
I wouldn't have given Mr Koffler the satisfaction of a mention here if I were you, his comment was lost in the Tweetosphere up until that point, which is probably where it belongs.
Regarding the tendancy of political blogs to reinforce or even harden a view . . check out the book Keenan brought up somewhere on this post or the Failure post - "Mistakes were Made (but not by me)"
I'll write a review on it when I finish it, but the title is a bit misleading. The book isn't just about making mistakes. It's a relatively science-based discussion of how all of our minds adjust to compensate when things that happen are dissonant with our self-image.
This book is an eye-opener for me, further diluting my faith in human nature that anyone will make the logical, rational choice when they know all the facts. Holy Moly after reading this book - I'd say ONLY if they are open to learning all the facts. And I'm learning that when feeling threatened (as many people seem to feel right now) the likelihood of openmindedness shrinks dramatically.
It just may be that Fred's forum has created a context for people who are open-minded and interested in learning. A place where people feel comfortable sticking their necks out to say what they think and are open to feedback.
Katherine Warman Kern
@comradity
www.comradity.com
that was a good discussion on health care.
now I'm only confused because both the government and the free market apparently want to take my money and then kill me.
(I understand that the market wants to keep me barely alive, at least as long as I have money left, but haven't seen any evidence the government cares about deficits. Rather, the government wants to keep me alive enough to vote, as opposed to alive enough to sign the checks. So I guess that might tip the balance in favor of government-run health care.)
Everybody in Canada wants American healthcare; and, everybody in America wants to fish in Canada.
Everybody in Mexico wants to come to the US and work; and, everybody in America wants a Mexican yard guy, maid and nanny.
Who doesn't love Mexican food?
Why don't we all just merge?
I live in Texas and I think we already are part of Mexico; or, maybe Mexico is already part of Texas?
We are already providing their markets, their defense and much of their employment base.
We have a continuous land bridge.
I say --- breakfast tacos for everyone.
breakfast burritos and Tim Horton's for some, miniature American flags for others
don't blame me, I voted for Kodos
K. Warman Kern (@comradity)
Ok, statehood it is!
The United States of Nortamericano!
Remember also that Mexico has almost no real middle class, no educational upward mobility and no credit. It does not possess an empowering "dream". It does not offer the "dope of hope".
It would be a very cool country.
This is the reason why many organizations ban conversations about politics and religion from the workplace.
advancement on humanity enough credit.
Have you read a lot of Hobbes?
to the spread of democracy, the victory of freedom over many forms of
totalitarianism, the immeasurable achievements of thought, science and
industry and the sacrifice that some of my friends have made far away from
home for ideas bigger and greater than blind allegiance to race, religion
and tribalism. There is only so much bleak pessimism that one should be
allowed to get away with even if they are old
;-)
I can agree that there are parallels between how some people view politics
and how religion was traditionally viewed. What I disagree with is that is
has to be or predominately is this way. Maybe the loudest out there take
such harsh, absolute "With me or you're my enemy" view, but I don't think
that the majority does. (Despite what seems to have been the popular
approach in the recent town hall saga)
What do you mean by politics here- a more classical sense, as defined by Aristotle? That the US does have, and I would say a lot of communities have as well
advancement on humanity enough credit.
Have you read a lot of Hobbes?
Hobbes on the other hand gave people more credit than popular notions would include. They have to choose to formulate society, you know. The choice of the sovereign and his powers- are that he should, not that he will. In that sense Hobbes echos Machiavelli.
Where are my copies?
his general theme about the base-ness of human nature (short, brutish,
nasty, etc, etc) and that we have built society only to keep ourselves from
each other's throats. Rousseau I think is a lot more optimistic about our
underlying motivations than Ben is. Although i feel like Ben would
be sympathetic to Rousseau's classical conservative theories.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMGuYjt6CP8
The healthcare piece from The Atlantic was the most eye-opening idea for reform I've yet to come across. I shared it with numerous people. Some loved it, some hated it, but most importantly, it continues to fuel my email and coffee shop conversations. My understanding of the issue is far more robust through a combination of your post, the article it led to and all of the discussions that followed in my social circle. Had you not spoken your mind, I would have missed out on all of that.
To anyone who doesn't like the political or other non-VC stuff, note that the blog tagline is not VC Musings of a VC in NY. If you're not interested, don't read and don't get all worked up. Your blood pressure will thank you.
I've run into a similar issue before on my blog. After a bad experience with Expedia, I ranted about it on my blog. One of my readers sent me an email saying that they didn't like it and wanted me to stay on topic. Sure I could continue to blog about things that are "off topic", but I think you have to decide what the scope of the content is and stick with it. It's respect for your readers.
And if you want to include in the scope, comments on politics or other subjects, you certainly can. It may mean that some readers will unsubscribe or be turned off.
This brings up a sore spot for me. Take the reviews for Apps in the Apple iTunes. It is out of control.
Anybody can write up the most non related, zero thought out, evil review of an app and not have their name tied to it whatsoever.
Apple needs to find a way to screen reviews and no matter what have that person's name attached to the review. Hey, if you are gonna review it, then you need to stand by it and put your name behind it. Ya dig?
Its a compelling argument but I don't buy it completely
Some people need anonymity for various good reasons. I don't like it but I accept it
That said, let me play devil's advocate for a moment. Your blog is not titled "Fred Wilson's thoughts about politics." It's "Musings of a VC in NYC," and the vast majority of the posts relate either specifically to venture capitalism (particularly with regard to Internet-focused companies) or are on uncontroversial subjects.
I of course have no idea what the critics' motives were, but I would not assume they meant for you to remain silent in every arena of your life. Rather, I would assume they were providing the semi-constructive criticism that, with regard to your venture capitalism blog, you stick to venture capitalism or uncontroversial subjects, or risk alienating readers like them.
Of course, you are free to follow, reject, or ignore this advice as you please. It is your right and your blog. I'm just raising an alternative possibility for their motive.
Finally, with regard to your tweet on medical malpractice tort reform, perhaps you'd like to read the short debate I had with a physician in Emergency Physicians Monthly on the subject, "Does Medical Malpractice Liability Impact Access to Care?" I've posted the whole debate (with footnotes) at my blog: http://bit.ly/13ivBf
In short, "ambulance chasers" do not significantly drive up the cost of care. The entire malpractice system (including litigation costs and insurance overhead) is below 0.5% of health care expenditures, and the evidence for defensive medicine actually raising costs is, as the CBO concluded in 2004, "weak and inconclusive."
Besides, is "A VC" (the title) an identity statement or a factual statement. If you take it as an identity statement, it is not such a big deal. Just another facet of personality.
Politics and business are often seamless. I certainly try to do a "buy v rent" analysis before sending campaign contributions to politicians.
The issue of the tax treatment of carried interests is not unique to venture capital though I suspect they are more obvious because of the nature of the securities involved; and, because there were a spate of articles about the beneficiaries of such largesse.
In the real estate business, the distinction is made via the tax code discriminating beween "passive" involvement and "active" involvement which is determinant of the tax treatment. I have no problem with carried interests being taxed at favorable rates when risks of failure are high and when there is a high probability that the proceeds will be reinvested in the economy in some fashion --- even if only as "consumption".
We have got to stop demonizing the creation of wealth in the US and start singing the praises of financial independence through hard work. At the end of the day the economy has got to provide an opportunity to become a taxpayer (rather than a tax consumer) and a way to become financially independent --- which is just another way of saying independent of government support.
More importantly, as the CBO also noted, "some so-called defensive medicine may be motivated less by liability concerns than by the income it generates for physicians or by the positive (albeit small) benefits to patients." It's just like driving a car safely: although financial liability is certainly a concern, it pales in comparison to the other reasons to drive safely, such as not damaging your car and not hurting yourself or others.
Put another way, there are few if any circumstances in which "covering my ass as a doctor" is inconsistent with, or requires more than, "making sure the patient is safe." They typically compel one and the same result: as much care as the physician believes necessary to ensure patient safety (indeed, the "ass" would only need "covering" from something actually going wrong with the patient, as you cannot recover for malpractice without damages).
To the extent there's any care beyond that, it's profit motive, pure and simple. Atul Gawande had a piece exploring that in the New Yorker recently, wherein he examined the most expensive county for healthcare in the country -- in Texas, home of some of the most Draconian tort reform -- where one physician admitted:
"We all know these arguments are bullshit. There is overutilization here, pure and simple. Doctors, he said, were racking up charges with extra tests, services, and procedures."
Read for yourself: http://bit.ly/kvURi
In parts of the country which are closer to academic medical centers, and with well educated, well to do, populations, you would see far less of this "unecessary" ordering of tests and procedures - simply because the medical community, through it's own checks and balances, would not allow it.
I am a physician, and where I live, I can't just order tests and procedures on patients without a reasonable rationale because if I do, my referring docs are going to stop sending me patients. They will begin questioning my judgement and motivation, and that would hurt my reputation in the community. In certain populations, patients also go online to learn about their condition and what the recommended diagnostics and procedures are. They have gotten a lot more educated about their conditions.
Believe me this happens. If we were all in it for the money, for the amount of time and effort we put into this, we could probably have been far more successful pursuing another career.
I am not going to make the argument that tort reform will bring down overall health care costs, because I don't have the data to support that. I do know, however, that without it, malpractice insurance premiums have skyrocketed and physicians are very unhappy about this. In some cases they've had to leave the state in which they are practicing because the premiums had become overwhelming (esp in the case of OB/Gyns). That is not a good thing, and for any state considering tort reform that is the argument the politicians should make - that without it, we could be losing physicians to other states.
The entire Rio Grande Valley is part of the US only by the simple formality of where the Rio Grande actually flows. It is truly part of Mexico in its culture and habits and people. And it is corrupt to its core. The level of corruption is of such an enormous proportion as to be the norm rather than the exception.
The types of corruption are organic and are organized along an incredibly comprehensive continuum spanning ethnic (Mexican Mafia), industry (drugs, gambling) and position (politics, law enforcement) organizational dynamics.
There is as much illegal gambling going on in Laredo as there is legal gambling in Las Vegas. Well, just a tiny bit of hyperbole y'all but the analogy is quite apt.
It is a solid voting block which can be purchased as surely as you can buy a tee shirt at WalMart.
Spare me any comparisons which rely on McAllen.
practical matter "helping people" results in the same sort of treatment
and costs as "covering your ass," much as how cars are driven the same
safe way regardless of if the motiviation is to avoid liability, to
avoid damage to your car, to not hurt anyone, or a combination of all
three. Malpractice just isn't driving up costs any higher than "helping
people" -- both compel the same conduct by physicians.
Relatedly, in response to Rick's valid points, if we're going to treat
health care as a right -- which I think we should for at least some
types of care -- then we should spend public funds to ensure adequate
supply, much as we do for other industries and services. Pennsylvania,
for example, subsidizes premiums and has its own government fund
("MCARE") providing the bulk of most physician's coverage ($800k in
addition to the physician's privately-purchased $400k).
Although I have issues with the way MCARE is run (in general,
government-run insurance entities tend to be extraordinarily hostile
towards claimants), I have no problem with using my taxes for that.
Physicians are important and provide an essential service, and the
government should step in to provide a buffer against problems like the
high variability in premiums that occurred between 2000-2005.
But I do want to keep reiterating one important point: the impact of all
of the above is far, far, far less than most people believe. As the GAO
investigated in 2003, even in the high-liability-risk specialties (OB,
neuro, etc) in "hellhole" jurisdictions (MS, NV, etc), malpractice
liability concerns are not the primary factor behind physicians'
decisions to move or to close down their practice. Typically, the
primary factor is the declining reimbursement that physicians have been
experiencing for years, such that even the historically low malpractice
premiums of today (the lowest they have been in 35 years) has a serious
impact.
Thus, it's a question of if we want to focus on the big rocks or the
small rocks. The big rock here is reimbursement, not malpractice.
have enacted harsh tort reform (like Texas) have not shown any
improvement in actual availability or cost of care -- the only change is
far fewer patients recovering for injuries caused to them by someone
else's negligence.
An important point: malpractice causes significant economic and social
damage, including significant future medical care costs to deal with the
damage caused by the malpractice. Tort law does not add to those costs,
it determines who bears the burden of paying them. In the big economic
picture, torts are largely a non-issue, they're solely a question of
whether the tortfeasor is forced to internalize the costs of their
damage or if they're allowed to externalize those costs by dumping them
on the victims. (If you want to know more about this concept, which
isn't disputed by lawyers or economists, google "Coase Theorem.")
As such, "throwing it in" is nothing more than screwing blameless
patients as a sacrificial lamb to make George Will happy -- it's not
like the public as a whole thinks they shouldn't be compensated for
injuries, and it's not like Republicans will actually vote for health
care reform just because it includes tort reform. (Bill Bradley
conveniently forgot to disclose his roll on multiple tort reform
boards.)
"Tort reform" does nothing to help society as a whole. It just screws
thousands people like these: http://www.chron.com/deadbymistake/
Separately, I still think Tort Reform makes sense. Maybe instead of a cap, there's a better alternative. Don't the Brits require the losing plaintiff to pay the defendant's legal fees?
K. Warman Kern (@comradity)
Binding arbitatration, written into contracts, can provide "loser pays" provisions with great effectiveness. I have seen it work with great effectiveness.
We have a standard arbitration clause [AAA Commercial Rules, Expedited Procedures, unappealable decision, single arbitrator, local venue, loser pays, decision filed with and enforced by local District Court] which we have perfected over the years and which is inserted into each and every lease, vendor contract and any applicable legal document. I have simply taken the position that it is non-negotiable and it has worked thus far.
While we have rarely gone to arbitration --- only once in 15 years of using it --- its presence has resolved a lot of disputes. Disputes which would have gone on and on in discovery and have been very costly to remedy. It dissolves the gamesmanship and eliminates huges amounts of cost.
The biggest complainers are the lawyers. It is just incredible to see the unvarnished reaction of the lawyers when confronted with that provision. They are unmasked. And they lose control of the process.
Of course, the securities industry has had such provisions for years and years. At it relates to healthcare tort reform, this would be a good first step.
The reality is, medical malpractice insurance is like a tax. As a physician, I cannot avoid paying it, and I am required to have it if I am to practice - there's no way around that. If you keep increasing the premiums, I have to pay them.
I do not, however, have to participate with Aetna, Cigna, etc. If patients feel my services are worthy, they can go out of network and come see me, or pay privately. This is something I have control over. If I am not happy with what the insurers are paying me, I can drop them.
Trial lawyers will provide examples of patient's who were subject to malpractice by some physician whereas the majority of the time what has actually occurred is an unfortunate, and oftentimes unexpected, complication. These things happen, and when they do we don't sit back and say "well, this is too bad, but honestly if the guy hadn't smoked for 35 years...." or "you know, being 100 pounds overweight doesn't exactly help.....", and I'm not suggesting we should - we accept it as an unfortunate complication of the treatment or procedure pursued, the patients and their lawyers should understand this as well.
In the NY'er article, a cardiologist admits that with tort reform the malpractice cases dropped "almost to zero". Why should that happen, if all these truly negligent acts are taking place?
I'll tell you why - it's because there aren't many truly negligent acts...it's because the trial lawyers no longer have much financial incentive.
The payouts should be reasonable - if the patient is disabled and there are ongoing costs that the patient and their families have to deal with, Medicare will kick in or if it doesn't, it should be modified so that it does, and society will bear the cost.
As for the study on the premiums, read it a bit more closely: the data comes from A.M. Best, which rates insurance company strength for banks. They are no friend to trial lawyers.
Finally, cases in Texas have indeed dropped "because the trial lawyers no longer have much financial incentive." Trial lawyers like to serve the public interest when possible but, like doctors, can't work for free all of the time. Texas has made it impossible for any plaintiff to recover unless they have suffered massive, easily-provable economic damages, which means only middle-aged, high-income plaintiffs are likely to recover more than the costs of pursuing the case (which frequently break $50k, and often break $100k). Such says nothing about the objective number of meritorious claims.
Everyone wants "reasonable" compensation. The question is how to ensure we get it. Most "tort reformers" want "reforms" that ensure as few people as possible get any compensation at all, regardless of merit.
A lawyer who takes a case on contingency is no longer representing his client. He is now at best representing his own financial interest while simultaneously singing a sotto voce paean to the client's interest. It has devolved into a purely financial transaction in which the defendant has also disappeared also having been replaced by his insuror's lawyers.
It becomes a struggle between legal gladiators both of whom now possess the paramount interest in the outcome. The plaintiff and defendant are almost cartoon characters once the match is on.
When the financial calculus is finally settled the contingency lawyer invades, dilutes and carts off a huge portion of the victim's just compensation but does not take a proportionate amount of the injury, pain or suffering.
The simple fact that contingency lawyers are able to become very, very, very wealthy --- far in excess of "normal" hourly billing rates --- shows the raw potential for the benefits of tort reform.
Juries are not truly knowledgeable deciders of such complex issues and lawyers appeal to their emotions in a dishonorable and despicable manner. Courtroom histrionics replace sound medicine and science and fairness.
The first phase of tort reform should simply focus on streamlining the process, eliminating the unnecessary financial waste, returning the victim to the center of the recovery and eliminating the sweepstakes element of just compensation.
There has to become an appreciation for the reality that not every procedure works, that the victim may be the cause of the underlying risk, that the failure of the procedure does not always implicate negligence, that there are innocent bystanders (the hospital is not a participant just because the doctor is on staff or the operating room is in their building) and that patients must be forced to contract for the risk involved as a fundamental element of the patient-doctor relationship.
Here in Pennsylvania, more than 80% of verdicts are in favor of the defendant. (Google around for the Pennsylvania Supreme Court's annual medical malpractice report, which has the figures.)
Your "cartoon character" analogy shows that you have no familiarity with the legal system at all beyond what you see on television. Good facts win cases; "cartoonish" clients or lawyers lose them. Your comments on contingent fee representation also reveal no understanding of the system -- unlike the hourly-paid insurance defense lawyer, whose incentive is to waste as much time and money as possible, the plaintiff's lawyer's incentives are aligned precisely with those of the client. Your concern-trolling about sharing the client's pain is downright offensive: the defendant caused the pain, which can never be taken away. All the civil justice system can do is award money; that is not the fault of the plaintiff's lawyer.
Plaintiff's lawyers "are able to become" more wealthy than hourly-paid defense lawyers for the same reason startup company founders and investors "are able to become" more wealthy than managers and investors of established companies: they take on far, far, far, more risk.
But don't be fooled: most contingent-fee lawyers are not more wealthy than their hourly counterparts. Take a look at the AmLaw 200 list of the countries' most wealthy firms, which has only a handful of contingent-fee firms (most of whom sue over patents and shareholder fraud) yet dozens upon dozens of insurance defense firms.
Most importantly, though, is this simple question: if you eliminate contingent fees then how, exactly, will you get anyone to represent plaintiffs? There are options, of course, like setting up a compensation system similar to the Vaccine Injury Board, which pays plaintiff's lawyers for meritorious cases, regardless of outcome. But I've never heard any "tort reformer" ever propose anything of the sort, because their single-minded goal is to slash patient compensation as low as possible, not to ensure just results. It's concern trolling, pure and simple.
I never said there was a free market for insurance reimbursement. I said I don't have to participate in the market altogether. That is a growing trend, at least in NJ.
CPT codes, or rather how they are administered, are a racket. That, however, is a separate issue that has nothing to do with tort reform.
The study on premiums was performed by Americans for Insurance Reform. The data was pulled from A.M. Best - so what? Data can be interpreted any way a vested organization wants - AIR appears to want to shift the focus to the health insurance companies and away from the malpractice component. This, of late, seems to be the method of the trial lawyers - shift the focus away from us and on to the health insurers.
Both need to be tackled.
I'm not suggesting tort reform bring the # of malpractice cases down to zero, although I'm not surprised that that has happened. The system does not have to be so strict so as to prevent anyone from suing altogether, but place a cap on the payout - so the incentive to hit the jackpot is gone. A patient, with a history of heavy drinking, comes into the hospital with a heart attack, monitored in the ICU, goes into DT's because he's obviously not drinking now, has to be intubated emergently, is difficult to control because of the DT's so keeps moving around trying to pull the tube out, eventually is stabilized. Later develops a breathing problem, known as tracheal stenosis, which he attributes to improper intubation and lack of proper sedation (if he wasn't a alcoholic, none of this would have likely had to been done). Files suit in the millions.
Most tort reformers want an end to frivolous lawsuits. By and large, that's what most of these cases are.
I find the conversations here, started by both your questions and comments, to help that process. I hope you don't stop talking (and listening).
speak away!
Also, congrats on the FourSquare investment, one of the few times I loved a USV product _before_ you blogged about it.
Yesterday, I replied to @arrington's post about next steps for Twitter mentioning it was not his best work and it must have been a slow news day. It wasn't - in my opinion. He told me to seek professional help! A very nasty response to honest feedback. I didn't ask him to stop posting and I did contribute to the overall dialog after I made my qualitative assessment. Perhaps he doesn't want feedback.
Anyway, I believe the technology exists for there to be a nationally moderated online debate about these issues. Moderated in terms of abusive comments beying filtered and respectful disagreement promoted and in fact, highlighted so that folks can understand the real issues. Image it! One huge forum (almost like Twitter, well maybe it is Twitter but with more tools) and more asynchronous readership.
To sum it up, keep posting, encourage others to, and let's figure out how to get everyone's (constructive) opinions online.
Continually learning from those who disagree with some of your beliefs is a sign of strength of character.
Keep on trucking Fred, as long as your muse calls you to. We'll decide to tune in based on the quality of the conversations you inspire.
Every customer should be able to speak openly about what he or she wants.
If I don't like my AT&T cell phone service, and I blog about "AT&T cell phone service is undesirable", will people start criticizing me because I'm not a telecommunication expert?
Comment like @rkoffler is ridiculous. We need more civility and open-mindness to carry this health care debate forward.
Fred, what sheer utter nonsense. Your blog is one of the bright spots --- intellectually, subject, technically, socially, people wise, experience wise, decorum --- in the firmament of blogs. It provides both high level industry specific dialogue as well as raw unvarnished education mixed with a philosophy of life which is caring, generous and engaged.
You personally are a very well educated, whip smart, articulate man with an interesting life story, enough hard road miles to be begin to sprout a bit of wisdom and an engaging personality. Your management of your blog is flawless with just the right mix of challenge, intellectual traction, attention to administration and flawless courtesy amongst its many impressive participants.
The tone you set is extraordinarily professional.
The folks who have been attracted to your blog and the discourse therein validate the description above as they mirror all that you are. The participants are smart, interesting as hell, leaders in their professions, engaged in life, shaping our society and country (and their countries also) and engaged in real dialogue --- not shouting at each other.
You have demonstrated an enormous expertise in communication --- effective communication --- by fashioning a blunt instrument --- discourse --- into a finely focused laser beam which has provided light and enlightenment to all.
We now live in a world in which NOBODY is an expert any more and in which you cannot have 30 years of useful experience. You can only have a touch of expertise, an inquiring mind and one year of experience THIRTY TIMES!
I LUV YOU, MAN! OK, that was a bridge too far! Sorry!
Just 'cause you say it or think it doesn't mean you're claiming to be an expert. And some people will misinterpret that, and that's OK.
I never agree with your politics. More than a few times you've sent me over the edge. I do however respect your opinion and love your blog. Always speak your mind, and display your convictions. A fool keeps things to themselves. You have a voice (this blog) and one life to live...go for it. Life is short...there's still time for you to be a libertarian!
The more visible you are, the more the haters want to hate. I know you already know you're going to get blasted for things you say, and you're able to take criticism... But yeah, this is what TechCrunch writers endure with almost every single post they write... everyday :)
Comments like that are driven by cognitive dissonance. When people become attached to an idea they begin to dismiss counter information for self preservation.
Example: for those who are against Health Care reform, they can't say they don't support reform because it makes them feel they are bad people. They say to themselves, "Hey I'm not a bad person, I don't want people to go uncovered, it's just the way they are proposing it". As information counter to their believe on how it's being proposed arises, from places such as this blog, they attack the person/author in order to dismiss the counter evidence and justify their position; "Hey, I'm not a bad person."
These folks are battling dissonance feelings around the position they've taken or the things they've said and the rode back to is too long, therefore they continue to protect themselves by attacking all contrary positions and the PEOPLE behind them and then self-justify it.
They will never come around because it would make them too vulnerable and challenge their perception of self.
It's a fascination dynamic.
I suspect that healthcare is one of those subjects upon which almost nobody really disagrees with the destination but many have different views on the route of travel.
I would certainly be viewed as a bit conservative in my view of the world (though I am a closet liberal on education and immigration) and one might be tempted to view me as a proponent of the health care status quo but I have provided health, dental, vision, life and wellness insurance for my employees for over 30 years. I have paid folks to walk, run, swim, bike and workout --- real cash --- for years. [I do admit to being a bit skeptical about the guy who rode 500 miles one month.]
I have received not a jottle of assistance from anyone other than the bottom line of my companies. Why did I and why do I do this? Cause I simply think it is the right thing to do. Long before the debate even formed in this country, I was over the decision point and putting my money where their mouths are.
My actions are neither liberal nor conservative --- they are, in my humble view, purely self servingly pragmatic. Plus, I just like doing it. It makes me feel good about myself.
Given all of the above, I cannot imagine how an actuary or statistician pricing healthcare insurance is going to factor in a prohibition against pre-existing conditions. How can you factor that in without creating an enormous upward bias in the pricing algorithm?
So I am a guy who is almost the poster child for responsible health care provision who is against the current direction based solely upon its illogical basis for pricing?
I think that among thinking folks in America, we are also woefully skeptical about the government's ability to manage any complex enterprise. I truly cannot find a single enterprise (except maybe NASA) which has shown an ability to transform dollars into service in a manner even remotely as efficient as the private sector. So, why use the government as your delivery mechanism?
On the other hand, I have never found a targeted tax policy change which did not immediately generate positive heat, direction and action --- so why would we not use the carrot rather than the stick?
It is these illogical premises which serve to undermine the credibility of this administration. Why not do what we know can work? Why not?
Thank you for today's blog entry. I particularly like the part where you note that opposing views are fine, that we can learn from them. When you have your mind open, this is in fact the case.
We appear to have reached a point in our country's development where the freedom to be oneself---virtually irrespective of those around us---has become sacrosanct, while respect for freedom of political opinion and speech has all but disappeared. Quite the conundrum for a democracy.
So thank you Fred, for today's entry, your thoughts, and the opportunity for me to flex my brain muscle.
My view is instead of spending time and energy defending your right to speak freely, just let the comments slide by and re-coat the body with teflon/silicone.
I think you are better of articulating your views and just realize that there will be many who don't always see value in what is stated.That's progress for you...
Blog away....
My suggestion that you stick to your knitting is just as preposterous as your demand that I "don't suggest that [you] don't have the right to speak my mind." So perhaps lesson learned for both of us on how to phrase our displeasure with some of each other's comments.
In another forum I'll make my comments about the healthcare industry and the absurd proposals to "fix" it. The short version is that the current system is indeed defective but the solution is to undo the regulations that have created the problem, not to break it more than it already is with terrible additional regulation.
http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2009/08/consumer-centri...
It is also where assholes get to spew their embarrassingly hypocritical comments about others. What gives Random Asshole #1 status as an expert about you as a blogger? Seriously.
With good must come bad, I guess.
For the record: your willingness to speak your mind and engage in open/honest debate is one of the reasons I'm in business with you. Wouldn't want it any other way.
/JS
you and the rest of our investors. But it's really great to hear it.